Vital Farms might be in serious trouble as egg prices fall and its premium over regular eggs erodes, after a badly timed buyback and expansion. It drew its revolver and took an expensive Silver Point term loan that will crush free cash flow, and mothballed its new plant. EBITDA of $0-10M this year, against an EV over $600M, does not cover interest. Even normalized, it trades at 10-15x EBITDA for a commodity, versus single digits for Cal-Maine. Only another big bird-flu outbreak would rescue it. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ