Coupang, Sea and MercadoLibre remain dead money: their charts are broken, they are still overvalued and they face too much competition. Even after recent gains in Sea, they could stay dead money from here; they might be value, but that won't be known for a couple of years, and value traps are a devastating source of capital impairment. x.com  x.com 

Sea looks super interesting at 18x forward EPS against 30%+ EPS CAGR for 2027-2028. Past periods of heavy investment worked well for Sea, making market punishment for new investment exciting. Cloud-entry capex and limited communication, fierce competition, and uncertainty around the fintech IPO remain concerns. x.com  x.com 

The market's worst-case assumptions about Sea Limited's still-unclear Monee IPO and Sea Cloud look like a classic overreaction. Around $75, Sea looks very attractive: not much needs to go right for the investment to work, anything better than the worst case becomes an opportunity, and upside is enormous if things go right. x.com 

Sea looks cheap because EBITDA is likely to grow at 25% or more annually for the next few years while it trades at 9x 2027 EV/EBITDA. Sea Cloud should have launched years ago, when raising capital was easier and cheaper; ramping capex now means free cash flow disappears for the next 3-5 years. x.com  x.com 

Sea looks inexpensive at 7.7x EBITDA with 48% revenue growth, against eBay at 15x and 14%. Sea Cloud may resemble early self-funded AWS rather than a debt-heavy neocloud: Sea has $7B net cash, a 10% free-cash-flow yield, 25,000 GPUs for its core business and, it says, 500 staff already on the project. DBS models startup losses, but those are its assumptions. The upside depends on cloud spending not becoming a massive undertaking; earnings clarity on that spending matters. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  … Show more

Sea Limited's revenue growth has far outpaced its market value, making the shares interesting at these levels. Revenue is up 150% since Q1 2022 while market cap is down 25%; a multibagger is possible. x.com  x.com  x.com 

Funds selling and shorting Grab and Sea to chase chip stocks are a near-term headwind for both core holdings. The trade is tied to the closing of the strait and will keep pressuring the stocks until funds decide that trade is wrong. x.com 

Sea Limited's cash generation and sales have risen sharply while its share price is back at its 2020 level. Annual free cash flow moved from negative $100 million to $4.5 billion and revenue from $2.6 billion to $22.9 billion; at $74 versus a Street consensus target above $150, it is a strong buy and undervalued. x.com  x.com 

Sea Limited's strong execution and regained management trust make the beaten-down stock a buy here. After a rough two years following Covid, it faces less competition in its home markets than Amazon or MercadoLibre face in theirs, yet its stock trades very low. Existing holders should be loading up or question their conviction; long-term margins remain uncertain for both Sea and MercadoLibre. x.com 

Sea Limited looks strikingly cheap at under 8 times next-twelve-month enterprise value to EBITDA. x.com