ServiceNow's unexpected expense surge makes its rich valuation more vulnerable in a struggling software sector. Revenue rose 21%, but spending drove an EPS miss and one quarter of guided cRPO deceleration; wider market conditions could hurt near term. The 20% selloff looks excessive, and few software companies should benefit as much from AI. Management could deliver over 3-5 years, though the stock is only close to a buy again now; below $100 looks good for the long term. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com 

Cost fears and CRPO misunderstandings caused ServiceNow's selloff. The stock is definitely undervalued; the market's reaction is ridiculous. x.com 

ServiceNow's growth and deteriorating margins do not justify its valuation. It grew 3% quarter over quarter against a 107x trailing GAAP P/E, and its margins continue to deteriorate. It remains a great company, but is mostly saturated relative to that valuation. x.com  x.com  x.com 

ServiceNow's third-quarter subscription revenue, cRPO and operating-margin beats make its double-digit selloff look overdone. After a 77% rise from April lows, it needed a big beat and raise; lower fourth-quarter cRPO guidance and back-loaded implications for $30-$32 billion in subscription growth by 2030 leave the stock in show-me mode. x.com 

ServiceNow looks set up for a move now, framed simply as: if not now, then when? x.com 

ServiceNow's guidance growth is set to fall by another fifth next quarter, a poor trajectory rather than a buying opportunity after earnings. x.com 

ServiceNow keeps selling more to existing customers over time, one of the biggest reasons to be bullish long term. Its 2011 customer cohort's annual contract value grew from an indexed $100 to $3,730 by Q3 2026, or 37.3x, even including customer losses. x.com 

ServiceNow looks undervalued at a 0.85 PEG ratio, and anything below 1 is a good buy unless the stock is trendy or cyclical. Per @qualtrim, it is aiming to double its business by 2030 while trading at that PEG, a rare combination. x.com 

ServiceNow's costs are rising far faster than revenue without the RPO acceleration management promised. Q3 revenue rose 21%, while total cost of revenue climbed 56% and net income fell 45%; stock compensation appears to be using about half of free cash flow. The selloff looks deserved, though the shares are now closer to fair value. Sustainable margins and measurable returns remain the test. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com 

ServiceNow is worth more than its current price even under conservative growth assumptions. It is projected to grow about 16-24% a year for the next five years, yet even assuming just 14% and applying a 25% margin of safety, its intrinsic value still exceeds today's share price. x.com