Davy
Small-Cap Investor, Archetype-Research, Undercovered Companies & Data-Center Supply Chains
RS Technologies still looks reasonably valued at about 14x earnings, even after rising about 30% since it was first flagged earlier this year. It dominates reclaimed wafers with surprisingly good margins and sits in the tailwind of the AI infrastructure buildout. Fairly valued companies like this are a way to do well in this market without betting on moonshots. x.com
RS Technologies is a business that wins regardless and is undervalued today, as the world's leading semiconductor wafer recycler with about 33% share and TSMC and Sony as anchor customers. Its reclamation service, at a 38% operating margin, is needed at every step of chip production, a toll booth independent of any single technology. Its GRITEK stake plus net cash nearly equal its ~159bn yen market cap, leaving the core almost free at ~16x EV/owner FCF, or ~10x adjusted. x.com
ASML looks undervalued, a rare sight for this company, because its long-term AI opportunity is much bigger than the market is pricing in. AI is driving demand for advanced logic and memory chips, customers are accelerating capacity expansion, and ASML sits right in the middle of that buildout. Q2 revenue reached €9.3B with €2.9B in net income, and management raised its 2026 revenue outlook to €43B-€45B. x.com x.com
Semiconductors are the cheapest layer of the AI trade yet have the fastest earnings growth, so the AI bubble debate misses the point. Semis trade at 17.8x while software, up only 2%, trades at 25x. The market isn't pricing AI; it's pricing who keeps the margin. x.com
Semiconductor stocks' easy-money phase is over as the sector shifts from hype to show-me-the-money. The SOX index is down over 15% from its June peak, chip funds saw $11B of outflows in one week, the largest this century, short interest is at a three-year high and earnings growth is projected to slow by 2027. Memory and logic chips remain commodity-like. This is cyclical cooling, not a death knell; the AI build-out continues, but expect more turbulence and favor companies with defensive moats. … Show more
Europe's AI and tech names are the ones worth owning through 2030, unlike its boring banks, automakers and pharma. Picks: Nebius as a neocloud; Rolls-Royce for SMRs; Sivers, IQE, Aixtron, Nynomic and Soitec in photonics; BESI, ASML, SUSS MicroTec and LPKF in chip tools; Arm, Infineon and STMicroelectronics in chips; ABB and Schneider Electric in automation and power; Nokia in AI networking; Scottish Mortgage. Spotify is a great company but not a buy until next year amid the SaaS selloff. x.com … Show more
Qnity Electronics is a picks-and-shovels way to invest in AI without picking which chipmaker wins, because it supplies the materials chipmakers consume throughout manufacturing. Its photoresists, CMP pads and slurries, packaging and thermal materials, Kapton films and specialty chemicals are consumables replenished as wafers move through fabs, creating recurring demand across a diversified customer base. Risks include chip spending cycles, intense competition and geopolitical exposure in Asia. … Show more
