Late Stage Capitalism
Physician, Long-Term Stock Investor with 30 Years of Experience
Soluna does not merit a significant investment until it proves itself on a much harder AI build. Videos of the data centers it is building look unimpressive next to Digi Power X's, and its bitcoin mining centers looked second-tier. Build quality varies greatly between companies, so better footage or a proof of concept would prompt reconsideration. x.com x.com x.com
Soluna Holdings is a terrible long because it is diluting shareholders massively, with about $1 billion of dilution, including an active $500M ATM, against a market cap of roughly $200M. That ATM sells into the open market whenever retail buys, likely diluting buyers toward zero while management touts the bigger balance sheet and awards itself stock compensation. x.com x.com x.com x.com
Digi Power X could shift from speculative micro-cap to contracted AI infrastructure operator with a potential nine-figure revenue base, thanks to a 10-year, $1.1B colocation deal with Cerebras for a 40 MW Alabama data center, up to $2.5B with renewals. It sold 20 million ATM shares since March 31, lifting the share count about 30%, but the $103M funds the contracted Cerebras build, not losses. The binary test is delivering the first 15 MW by December 15, 2026; a material slip would end the case. … Show more
Soluna Holdings is an amazing setup as it shifts toward green data centers that monetize stranded or curtailed wind and solar power, mainly for Bitcoin mining today and increasingly for AI and high-performance computing. Q1 2026 revenue rose about 58% year over year to $9.4 million from $5.9 million. x.com x.com
Digi Power X is the home for Cerebras AI chips, with real asymmetry if both execute. Cerebras chose it over every other operator for a 10-year, $1.1B colocation deal with up to $2.5B in expansion options, against a $620M market cap, and a second tenant and GPU-as-a-Service revenue are starting. Risks are high: revenue begins only in late 2026 if the 40 MW Alabama campus is delivered on time, Phase 2 needs financing and dilution, and Cerebras depends on two UAE customers for 86% of revenue. x.com
Digi Power X is the smartest backdoor play on Cerebras as massive institutional demand builds for its 20x-oversubscribed IPO. It is Cerebras's AI landlord, supplying power and Tier III data-center capacity under a locked-in 10-year, $1.1B contract worth up to $2.5B, which transforms its revenue model. It is also scaling GPU-as-a-service and energy sales as it pivots from legacy bitcoin mining to pure AI infrastructure. x.com x.com
Soluna Holdings blends data centers with renewable energy, and its AI compute hosting services are scaling rapidly. If the bitcoin and data-center boom continues, strong execution through 2028 could unlock massive upside, though with high volatility. x.com
Digi Power X is unlikely to break out, because the bull case's "all they have to do is execute" on a $1.1 billion, 10-year book is doing a lot of heavy lifting. @Pentosh1 argues the 10-year Cerebras deal gives the debt-free, pre-revenue company a multi-year runway and that owning 60MW-plus of generation matters when power is the AI bottleneck. x.com
Digi Power X has signed a $1.1B, 10-year colocation deal that locks in its AI infrastructure model, and more deals look likely. Separately, SubQ, the customer behind its earlier 0.8-1MW contract, unveiled a sub-quadratic sparse-attention LLM with a 12 million token context window, which raises the likelihood that the additional power flagged in that partnership gets contracted. x.com x.com x.com
Soluna Holdings owns the two scarcest inputs in AI infrastructure, renewable power and permitted data-center land, at a market cap far below what its pipeline could be worth. Its 123MW earns about $240,000 per MW a year on Bitcoin hosting, versus $0.5-1M per MW for AI compute. That makes the 100MW Kati 2 worth $50-100M a year and the 300+MW Dorothy 3, next to its newly bought 150MW Briscoe Wind Farm, $150-300M, versus $29.7M of 2025 revenue. Risks: a $57M net loss, share overhang and execution. … Show more
Digi Power X owns power generation in an AI buildout where power, more than chips, is the bottleneck. It is debt free, owns 60MW+ with a 1.3GW letter of intent, and its 10-year, $1.1B deal with Cerebras gives it a multi-year revenue runway that pays off even with partial execution. The bear case is that it is pre-revenue with disappointing past earnings, though those predate the Cerebras deal; it depends on execution, and the buildouts will take years. x.com