Wayne Liang
Asymmetric Investment Research, Trade Alerts & Toolkits
Momentus looks like an easy 2x because every space computing satellite eventually needs repositioning, servicing or hosting, which it handles well. It just completed a successful Vigoride 7 launch, the market has not priced in its debt-free, strong balance sheet, and dilution is out of the way. The space sector is climbing again after a pullback when Blue Origin's rocket exploded, and Nvidia's Jensen Huang has called space computing the final frontier. Next resistance is $26. x.comÂ
Momentus' $25M raise reads better than the dilution headline, because it gives the microcap real runway and fresh institutional backing. It leaves about $76M in cash after years of living raise to raise, came from existing fundamental investors adding to positions, and was priced around $8.50, above the $3.75 and $5.40 deals earlier this year. The caution is real: it is close to 30% dilution in a thin-revenue, high-beta name. The stance is cautiously bullish for those who can handle the swings. … Show more
Momentus, the smallest pure-play space stock at under $7M of market cap, is a terrible investment but can make one of the best trades in a space mania. x.comÂ
Momentus's risk/reward is now skewed against buyers at a $200M valuation. It was a solid turnaround bet at a $10M valuation earlier this year, but the stock has since repriced far beyond that. x.comÂ
Voyager Technologies looks particularly interesting as a picks-and-shovels supplier to the space economy. At a $1.5B market cap, it builds propulsion, missile defense, spacecraft electronics, space intelligence and agentic AI, stations, lunar infrastructure and orbital computing; it partners with Palantir and Anduril. Rocket Lab, AST SpaceMobile and Voyager could be like Apple, Microsoft and Intel in the 1980s: their value in two decades matters more than in two years. x.comÂ
Rocket Lab's growing Space Systems business positions it to provide more than launches for the space economy. It generated $189.5M in Q2, 81% of revenue; if its pending Iridium acquisition closes, it would gain a global satellite communications network. At about $51, this is one of the most compelling long-term opportunities in the space sector over 3-5 years, provided it keeps executing. Neutron's launch has slipped to 2027, and execution risks remain. x.com x.com x.comÂ
The selloff in smaller space stocks after SpaceX's IPO is an opportunity: it was mechanical rotation into the new benchmark, not a rerating, as Rocket Lab was sold the week it joined the Nasdaq 100. Satellites bill monthly for years while rockets get paid once; AST SpaceMobile stands out with approval and launch cadence. SpaceX is the core holding, Rocket Lab's Neutron the second-mover bet; Firefly, Virgin Galactic and Momentus are lottery tickets or survival cases. Suppliers are ballast. x.com … Show more
A stronger SpaceX could lift the wider space-stock basket, including AST SpaceMobile, Rocket Lab, Redwire, Planet Labs, Intuitive Machines, Firefly Aerospace and Voyager Technologies. Per DeItaone, JPMorgan raised its SpaceX price target from $240 to $500 while maintaining Overweight. The seven space stocks rose alongside SpaceX after hours. Their initial post-IPO selloff was followed by macro-driven weakness, not further weakness caused by SpaceX. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Rocket Lab's after-hours selloff on a record quarter is a buying opportunity because it is becoming a space prime, one of only two full-stack space companies alongside SpaceX. Revenue hit a record $234M, up 62%, backlog a record $2.36B, up 137%, with more than $1B of Q3 contracts signed and $2.4B of cash. On VICTUS HAZE it launched in 16h42m against a 24-hour window. CEO Peter Beck said Neutron delay coverage is exaggerated. Rating stays Overweight with a $130 target. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Space stocks look extremely oversold against a strengthening policy narrative, leaving the rubber band very stretched. The median space stock is 52.5% below its all-time high and 51.5% below its 52-week high. Meanwhile, the White House spent the weekend promoting the Space Force and set a policy target of 1,000 launches a year by 2030. The gap between narrative and price has rarely been this wide. x.comÂ
Ten listed companies span every layer of a space economy projected to nearly triple to $1.8 trillion by 2035. Rocket Lab has a $2.2B backlog, with Neutron its next catalyst and biggest execution bet. Firefly guides to $420-450M and won Golden Dome work. Iridium is the steady cash-flow name. Redwire, Intuitive Machines, Voyager and Planet Labs carry large backlogs, Satellogic hit positive operating cash flow, and Spire's defense pivot is the catalyst to watch. AST SpaceMobile is FCC-approved. … Show more
