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SK hynix's record earnings and five-year volume and spec agreements make its valuation look too low. Quarterly revenue reached KRW104.62T, up 32%, and operating profit hit $63B against a $785B market cap, below AMD's and less than half Tesla's. Its planned KRW100T (~$75B) shareholder return would be one of the world's largest, signaling conviction and unusual demand visibility. AI-inference 3D DRAM is coming by 2030; a reasonable valuation is all that is sought. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com … Show more
AMD has more AI accelerator market-share potential than the 7% forecast suggests. The more likely outcome is at least 15%-20% share, versus the forecast quoted from @pequityresearch. x.comÂ
AMD now has to be extraordinary to justify its valuation, because it is priced on what it must deliver in 2027, not on past results. Despite revenue up 50%, data center up 107%, triple-digit profit growth and above-consensus guidance, the stock fell about 8% after hours; great is not enough when great is already priced in. x.comÂ
AMD's growth worries should ease after BofA raised its EPS estimate by 34%, to about 4x current levels, which also addresses concern that the stock trades at a premium. x.comÂ
AMD is held for its strong earnings growth, which, when it continues into the next quarter, is a reason to own a company beyond a good-looking chart. Price and risk then decide whether to take the trade. x.comÂ
AMD's stock has outrun its fundamentals, leaving it a bad investment at today's price despite an extremely bullish long-term outlook for the business. From April 2025 to September 2026, AMD rose 8x while revenue grew 55%; Nvidia rose 2.4x while revenue grew 118%. AMD had previously lagged despite improving fundamentals, but the market's catch-up went too far. Its risk/reward is no longer what it was at roughly 20x forward earnings in 2025; a crash could make it attractive again. x.com x.comÂ
AMD and Intel look expensive only if agentic AI fails to accelerate CPU demand, and sell-side estimates probably do not yet capture all of that acceleration. AMD trades at 58x and Intel at 68x NTM EPS, with the sell side modeling EPS CAGRs through CY2029 of 66% and 82%. Beating CY2029 estimates of $31.50 and $4.75 by 30-40% would lift those CAGRs to about 78% and 97%. Despite frothy multiples, that EPS growth is hard to argue with. x.comÂ
AMD's bullish hardware case depends on realized GPU prices and costs, not shipments alone: lower selling prices need not lower manufacturing costs. In a conditional September 23 model stress, GPU prices 15% below the reference path with fixed unit costs cut weighted 2030 revenue from $347.84B to $314.76B and free cash flow from $90.13B to $68.59B, about 24% lower. These are weighted outcomes across 16 scenarios, not the standalone Base case. x.comÂ
AMD's numbers remain mediocre, and the stock already trades at what it would earn in 2027 and beyond. @JonahLupton argues AMD is a 2027 story, when growth is expected to accelerate to 60-65% year over year. x.com x.comÂ
AMD went from limping to sprinting in Q2 FY26, earning an A grade. Revenue rose 50% to $11.54 billion, gross margin jumped from 40% to 54%, and operating income swung from a $134 million loss to a $1.99 billion profit. Net income rose 163%, and EPS climbed from $0.47 to $1.41. x.comÂ