Arrakis Global
Global Thematic Fund Manager
Cameco gains a big catalyst from the Westinghouse IPO, which the administration has every incentive to pump given its ownership stake. Cameco and Brookfield bought Westinghouse for $7.5 billion, with Cameco owning 49%, and it is worth considerably more now. Institutional money that won't buy Brookfield Renewable gets its Westinghouse exposure through Cameco, and a multiple derating is not a concern until Westinghouse is fully independent. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Cameco's chart supports a bullish bias as long as it holds above the $110 pivot, where a gap remains unfilled. It is not the most exciting name right now, and existing uranium names are already doing well, so it suits scaling in from a starter size. x.comÂ
Cameco's 49% Westinghouse stake should gain value if South Korea's KEPCO invests before a Westinghouse IPO, because Korea brings nuclear construction expertise the US has lost. A 10-15% stake via new shares would dilute Cameco and Brookfield, but that matters little since an IPO with Korea all-in is worth much more. Per Seoul Economic Daily, Korea likely needs at least 10% for board rights, and any dilution depends on talks with Cameco; the announcement looks delayed past September 22. x.com … Show more
The Brookfield ecosystem looks increasingly attractive long term, pairing Brookfield Asset Management's asset-light fee machine with Brookfield Renewable's exposure to the enormous power and infrastructure buildout. Westinghouse adds another potentially powerful growth engine tied to the nuclear renaissance. Brookfield has consistently allocated capital well across cycles, and its scale and access to capital create a formidable moat. x.comÂ
Cameco is the most interesting pure-play uranium producer thanks to good cost-curve positioning and a history of surviving pricing downturns. It also has exposure to conversion and to enrichment through Global Laser Enrichment, plus the optionality of a Westinghouse IPO. A post the author replies to calls Cameco the best company in the space on assets and management, while noting that Global Laser Enrichment is unproven and valuation is the only knock. x.com x.comÂ
Rising uranium prices and the Westinghouse IPO, which retail has largely not been tracking, make the uranium sector very attractive right now, and uranium names are already running. x.comÂ
Vistra, Constellation Energy, Cameco, BWX Technologies and Oklo could benefit as the US government puts about $4 billion behind nuclear power. Vistra is directly tied to the new $4.2 billion DOE loan, and Constellation is a top US nuclear operator with major data center power deals. Cameco mines uranium and part-owns Westinghouse; BWX Technologies supplies nuclear components, fuel and reactor technology, including for government programs; Oklo is developing its own advanced fission plants. x.com … Show more
The suppliers beneath the big nuclear deals going to Constellation Energy and Vistra get paid while the utilities get the headlines. GE Vernova supplies nuclear equipment, turbines and grid gear; Cameco uranium, fuel and Westinghouse technology; Centrus US enrichment and HALEU for the coming SMR boom; BWX Technologies nuclear components and reactor manufacturing. Oklo is an SMR developer and future fuel customer, while Fluor and Quanta Services add construction and power-infrastructure exposure. … Show more
Cameco is a slightly steadier 5-10 year nuclear holding than Centrus Energy because its earnings are more stable across the whole value chain, while Centrus could still return more if SMRs and HALEU grow faster than expected. Cameco owns top uranium mines, long-term contracts, fuel services, Westinghouse and GLE laser enrichment; Westinghouse is already contributing, with AP1000, AP300 and maintenance work potentially growing through 2027-2029. Valuation is high; actual contracts will decide. … Show more
Cameco's CEO said in a recent fireside chat that the nuclear renaissance is still very early and that uranium prices do not reflect actual supply and demand. Cameco covers everything except enrichment, which it is watching closely. The stock has not closed a week below its 30-week moving average since last year, a strong trend that points to more upside, and indicators have reset near a breakout; a weekly close above resistance is the next step. x.comÂ
Nuclear stocks could create generational wealth for early investors, with six names covering different parts of the build-out. Vistra sells existing nuclear power, including 1,200 MW to AWS from Comanche Peak for 20 years. Oklo's small reactors run on spent fuel. Cameco sells uranium and owns 49% of Westinghouse. BWX Technologies is among the few firms cleared to build nuclear parts. NuScale holds the first US SMR design approval yet trades under $9. Centrus has a $3 billion enrichment backlog. … Show more
