Natera is the best short in diagnostics because its valuation demands accelerating KPIs that are likely to slow. Signatera is great, but growth should decelerate, while the legacy women's health business is highly penetrated and facing competition from BillionToOne. Opex should rise next year more than the buy side expects, and the stock is crowded with tourists. Even 25% sales growth for a decade with 25% EBITDA margins yields only about $250 a share on a DCF. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
