Sigma Zero Capital
Founder of Sigma Zero Capital, Thematic Trader
CrowdStrike's 45x sales multiple on mid-20% revenue growth only works if multiple expansion continues in perpetuity, which no long holder can count on. x.comÂ
CrowdStrike at 40x forward sales is hard to take seriously as a best idea into 2027. x.comÂ
CrowdStrike may distinguish itself from an expensive cybersecurity group by showing more breakneck growth at earnings next month. Fortinet's slowing product revenue exposed how much relentless execution investors had priced into the group's extreme multiples, pulling CrowdStrike down in sympathy. CrowdStrike remains in a higher tier than Fortinet, which itself ranks above SentinelOne. x.com x.comÂ
CrowdStrike at 45x revenue is even sillier than its valuation back in 2020, when its fundamentals were far stronger: customer count grew 116%, revenue guidance beat the Street and sales and acquisition costs fell. There was a time to own it; that time is not now. x.comÂ
CrowdStrike's growth is too slow to justify its valuation. Its forward P/E has climbed to about 190, while stock-based compensation exceeds operating earnings, so reported free cash flow margins do not show what the business actually earns. x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
CrowdStrike is where the AI buildout ends, because rising AI demand expands the addressable market for security. Management said that since Anthropic's Mythos, growth has shown up in ARR, not just meetings or interest, and the threat landscape is not subsiding. The stock's move higher is a rerating: CrowdStrike can grow faster as it gets bigger, with no end in sight in an AI world, though the share price could wobble. x.com x.comÂ
CrowdStrike is among the dumbest things to chase at 32 times revenue, even after WOLF Financial flagged it as the S&P 500's best performer on the day. x.comÂ
CrowdStrike's multiple is far too high to consider owning. @SixSigmaCapital notes it trades at 36x with growth in the mid-20% range and no GAAP profits. x.comÂ
CrowdStrike's pullback reflects traders taking profits, not institutional distribution, with smart money staying invested and institutional support down to $190. Its rejection near prior highs mirrors the software sector and its last three all-time-high attempts. A $10 million purchase of December 2027 $230 calls bets that profit-takers will chase back in harder than ever over the next year. Earnings are next week. x.comÂ
CrowdStrike is overvalued at roughly 34x sales after rising another 10% on just a $30M revenue beat. Per @wallstengine, Q2 revenue was $1.47B against $1.44B expected, up 26%, with record net new ARR of $333M and raised full-year guidance, yet that modest beat does not justify the valuation. x.comÂ