Centrus Energy's invitation to join the S&P SmallCap 600 as of July 14, 2026 is another sign of its progress and momentum. x.comÂ
Derek Quick
Uranium/Nuclear & Value Stock Analyst, Trader, Coast Guard Veteran
Centrus Energy looks primed for another run, backed by a tight float that is 79% owned, a big HALEU deal and an NRC proposal. The stock is breaking out of a falling wedge in a downtrend on its biggest daily buying volume since it traded at this price last year, before running 141% in 56 days to $464. x.comÂ
Centrus Energy's $9 billion DOE HALEU contract, up to $10.7 billion with options, gives it capital certainty to expand its Piketon, Ohio plant. As the only U.S. firm with a full NRC commercial HALEU license, it supplies fuel every domestic SMR developer will need. A U.S. ban on Russian uranium imports by 2028 adds inelastic replacement demand, behind a $39 billion backlog. Its addition to the S&P SmallCap 600 should also bring forced buying from passive funds. x.comÂ
Centrus Energy's fast-growing backlog looks increasingly large against its market value, though the opportunity depends on SMRs. Backlog rose from $1.2B to $4.5B in two years, about twice its $2.2B market cap despite the stock falling from $411 to $109; it extends through 2040. Backlog has grown roughly 20% a quarter, much of it from companies like Oklo and Constellation Energy. The market may not believe in SMRs. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Centrus Energy is one of the better ways to play the nuclear buildout. x.comÂ
Centrus Energy is the only US-owned HALEU producer and the sole domestic fuel source for small modular reactors powering AI data centers. The sector is hated but the fundamentals are untouched, making it a patient accumulation play. Technically, it shows a compression setup, a green SuperTrend cloud and an approaching bullish weekly 20/50 EMA cross. x.comÂ
Centrus Energy's nuclear-fuel case is stronger than ever, and its chart is turning up. It has industry and government support for its Piketon facility, HALEU will be indispensable in the nuclear renaissance, and despite plenty of competition it has a significant lead toward production. On the daily chart, the head-and-shoulders looks failed, as a falling wedge nears breakout with a possible double bottom; a close above $192.46 would confirm, while a close below about $142 would be a warning. … Show more
Centrus Energy benefits from nuclear's role as the only carbon-free baseload source that can meet AI's power needs, as the only US-owned company licensed to enrich uranium at commercial scale. It raised 2026 revenue guidance to $450-500 million, holds a $3.9 billion backlog through 2040, and won a $900 million DOE task order for commercial-scale HALEU, the fuel next-generation reactors need but almost no one can make. Its Oak Ridge expansion is advancing with $560 million committed. x.comÂ
Rising uranium prices and the Westinghouse IPO, which retail has largely not been tracking, make the uranium sector very attractive right now, and uranium names are already running. x.comÂ
Centrus Energy has an effective war chest of $2.8 billion inside a $3.2 billion market cap: $1.9 billion of unrestricted cash plus a $900 million HALEU award. It is still the only US company that can enrich uranium into HALEU, faces zero domestic competition and carries a $3.9 billion backlog. x.comÂ
These seven mid-caps have explosive upside. Zeta Global uses AI and data for marketing and customer acquisition; USA Rare Earth and MP Materials are rebuilding America's rare earth and magnet supply; Forgent Power Solutions builds power infrastructure for AI data centers as electricity demand surges; Centrus Energy supplies nuclear fuel for next-generation HALEU reactors; Oklo develops advanced reactors; and Ouster makes lidar for robotics and autonomy. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
Centrus Energy controls the real chokepoint in the nuclear trade, HALEU fuel, which next-generation reactors need and almost no one produces domestically. Its new $900 million fixed-price Department of Energy contract, up to $1.07B with options, to expand domestic HALEU production matters more than uranium spot prices. Per @EmmanuelInvest, Centrus plans to move its HALEU cascade to commercial operation, targeting 12 metric tons a year, supporting a $2.4B LEU backlog. x.comÂ