Fast-growing agentic demand challenges the bearish case for IREN, Nebius and CoreWeave. Elon Musk says agentic demand is growing faster than anything he has seen; that is the point directed at shorts in these data-center stocks. x.comÂ
NightHawk Capital
Stock Investor
Exceptionally fast agentic AI demand means no AI bubble for IREN, Nebius and SpaceX; they will make substantial money soon. Elon Musk says agentic demand is growing faster than anything he has ever seen. x.comÂ
Nebius's exceptional growth makes it the best way to gain data-center exposure while the AI-sector rally still has room to run after its pullback. The risk/reward looks super attractive here, but this is extremely risky compared with usual holdings and not necessarily a ten-year hold. x.comÂ
Global resistance to data centers could constrain December cloud growth despite the longer agentic AI buildout. Some estimates say roughly 120 US projects worth over $130B face delays; opposition spans the UK, EU, Australia and Malaysia too. Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon remain favored, though guidance is at risk. CoreWeave, Nebius and IREN may bounce hardest short term but look weak longer term as funding tightens; Elon Musk expects extensive neo-cloud consolidation. x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
IREN and Nebius look most attractive in AI cloud on projected 2027 revenue growth relative to their EV/revenue multiples. IREN is listed at 297% growth and 4.74x, and Nebius at 266% and 4.26x; TeraWulf and Cipher Mining have similar projected growth but multiples above 9x. x.comÂ
A rising value of compute per watt should benefit AI cloud, chip, connectivity and power suppliers. Elon Musk says that value will rise over time. Nebius has Microsoft and Meta deals; Marvell benefits from custom silicon demand; Credo connects GPUs; Vistra has long-term nuclear supply deals with Amazon and Meta; Nokia's Nvidia partnership could help it capture data-center networking growth. x.com x.comÂ
Financing strain threatens smaller AI-related plays. Elon Musk says debt markets have nearly closed to firms without substantial non-AI-data-center revenue. Neoclouds, energy, HVAC, electronics and builders will be a much smaller field in a year; its 'guppy' plays can be shorted here toward zero. CoreWeave, IREN and Vertiv look troubled, perhaps Nebius; Ouster, Applied Digital, Ultra Clean, Cipher Digital, WhiteFiber, TeraWulf and IPG Photonics too. x.com x.comÂ
Faster-than-expected AI computing price increases challenge fears of too much capacity too soon. Nebius reported that pricing trend. x.comÂ
IREN's $363 million in GPU-backed financing makes it a bet to survive neocloud consolidation. Elon Musk warned that drying debt markets could kill or consolidate many of the 200-plus neoclouds, leaving only a few survivors; IREN secured funding in that very market. x.comÂ
CoreWeave's financing looks more vulnerable amid a debt-market pullback for AI-data-center-dependent companies. Elon Musk says access has almost entirely shut off in recent weeks for firms without substantial revenue outside AI data centers, and expects few of the 200-plus neoclouds to survive consolidation. x.comÂ
Neocloud consolidation amid tightening financing is probably very bullish for Nebius. Elon Musk says debt markets have almost entirely shut off access to companies without substantial revenue outside AI data centers, leaving most of the 200-plus neoclouds facing failure or consolidation; only some will survive. x.comÂ