The healthcare sector, including Moderna, AbbVie, Johnson & Johnson and Merck, looks ready to push higher off Moderna's cancer news. x.com
artisanwill
Equity & Options Trader, Analyst at The Option Cartel, MS Finance
Healthcare looks attractive as volatility has eased in recent weeks while inflows stay steady. Merck is the best-looking pharma play, pharma and biotech are favored, and the broad healthcare sector covers all the bases. x.com
Moderna's cancer-cure mystery and optimism are the conditions that drive big stock moves. Its theme is now hot to trade, alongside related stocks. CoreWeave's 2025 AI data-center IPO rode similar uncertainty about AI revenue while AI was hot; it now faces AI-spending worries. x.com
US healthcare and biotech stocks are coming under distribution as the attack on healthcare returns. Per Dr Alex Kenton, the No Surprises Act has knocked millions of people off insurance rolls, hurting hospitals, and a new Justice Department investigation targets Cigna, UnitedHealth and CVS over allegedly using Claritev to fix prices. x.com
US healthcare stocks look set to rise because insiders are buying at an extreme rate relative to selling. The corporate insider buy/sell ratio for the healthcare sector has spiked to its highest reading in data back to 2010, levels last seen in early 2020. After such readings, the sector rose 88% of the time over two months, 91% over six and 100% over twelve, with median returns of 9.14% at six months and 12.46% at twelve. x.com
Moderna, biotech stocks, AbbVie and Amgen have bullish chart setups. Their daily charts are in uptrends, with the latest strong bullish candles confirming momentum alongside steady, strong whale accumulation. x.com
Moderna looks expensive even under a bullish scenario. A base model values Covid, flu and RSV at $10B, oncology at $15B and the platform at $5B: a $30B market cap, or $75 a share versus $135, about 45% downside. Even $10B of oncology sales by 2035, one of the best pharma launches ever, at 8x sales and a 10% discount rate gives about $120. The CMV trial failed, norovirus is at risk, rivals are developing mRNA flu vaccines, and BofA's raised $170 target looks unjustified. x.com x.com x.com x.com … Show more
AI biotech names such as Tempus AI, Recursion, Ginkgo Bioworks and Prime Medicine could become the new home for money rotating out of AI and semiconductor leaders, with Moderna and Merck's positive phase 3 melanoma results for their mRNA neoantigen therapy a possible catalyst. Sentiment toward AI in healthcare should be far warmer than toward job-displacing AI, since everyone faces disease, and could top the semis trade. Indices could chop or fall while these biotechs outperform. x.com x.com … Show more
Moderna looks like a logical play on plague-outbreak concerns, though this is outside areas of expertise. A Russian lab worker's sudden death has raised fears of a plague crisis, per Zero Hedge, with the Trump team monitoring the outbreak, and the stock is acting well. x.com
Moderna is not a long here because its valuation is now super stretched after a huge one-day move. Per @A_May_MD, Moderna added $45B in market cap on a dataless phase 3 press release in adjuvant combination melanoma, with a drug it owns only half of. Non-experts expecting AI to cure cancer and develop drugs at insane speed are out of their league. The news is great, but risk needs managing, and this may work only as a trade. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com
Moderna is extremely attractive because curing cancer is a big story, but more consolidation is likely first. The weekly chart shows a wide gap between price and the upper Bollinger Band, so volatility may need another week or two to ebb before the stock possibly starts moving higher. x.com