Chris
Engineer & Entrepreneur, Equity/Crypto Swing Trader, Macro & Trade Setups
AeroVironment is a long-term buy on weakness because its counter-drone and directed-energy position keeps strengthening while the chart stays depressed. It won a $464.8M US Army LOCUST contract, its first US production contract for high-energy lasers, plus a >$50M international order, and is one of four systems in the US counter-drone directed-energy pilot ahead of a December shoot-off. The stock has built a $135-150 range for three months with improving MFI, a potential bullish divergence. … Show more
AeroVironment's lasers look like a new franchise after a strong quarter. Q1 FY27 revenue hit a record $480.5 million, up 6% and above about $456 million expected, and adjusted EPS of $0.59 beat roughly $0.25, with FY27 guidance raised or reaffirmed on a $1.5 billion backlog. The first international order for its LOCUST laser system, which management frames as a potential $500 million-a-year franchise, follows a $464.8 million US Army directed-energy award. x.com x.comÂ
AeroVironment's 23% rally looks unjustified because the company is again signaling unimpressive growth, with its FY27 revenue growth target below 10%. x.comÂ
AeroVironment looks like a great dip buy because it has fallen back to $144 for no company-specific reason, only a selloff in defense names. It smashed earnings, jumped to $170 the next day and reached $190 after new contracts. Around $137 it would be back where it traded before that earnings report. x.comÂ
AeroVironment is selling off like a penny stock even though it just booked about half a billion dollars of counter-drone business, a reaction that looks absurd. x.comÂ
AeroVironment is a stock to leave for good, because it has had too many management issues this year. x.comÂ
AeroVironment has plenty left in the tank if the macro holds up, after hitting two price targets this week. x.com x.comÂ
Projected earnings growth makes AeroVironment look best on valuation among the drone names discussed. The consensus figures shown put adjusted EPS at $3.26 in 2027 and $8.32 in 2030, with the indicated P/E falling from 37x to 14.5x. x.com x.comÂ
AeroVironment's latest print was solid but not full confirmation that profitability is on track. Revenue and EPS beat, funded backlog reached $1.5B and AxS grew 21%, validating demand, but SCDE fell 21% and EBITDA declined year over year. Even after the brutal defense selloff since Q1, whether the stock has bottomed is still unclear. x.comÂ
AeroVironment is a buy because its proprietary drones avoid the price race to the bottom hitting commodity disposable drone makers, with Kratos the other proprietary exception. A quoted post notes AeroVironment is the only name in a drone basket below fair value, with 44.5% analyst upside. x.comÂ