Froggy
Crypto Analyst, Trader at Wallet
Bittensor's selloff reflects a real trigger: Covenant AI, a major builder on the network, is exiting key subnets and calling out centralized control over emissions and decisions. TAO fell from about $339 to about $248 on panic volume. Longs only make sense if $260 holds; otherwise the setup favors shorting or sitting out. x.comÂ
Bittensor is the leading AI crypto project, so TAO should run once the FUD clears; it is one to buy and hold. x.comÂ
Bittensor's nearly two-and-a-half-year downtrend is very close to ending, needing a weekly close above 320 to confirm a higher high, after which 500 looks easy. Businesses owning subnets now do $25-30m in annualized revenue, estimated at about $100m by year-end, from real paying customers. TAO pumping last has not been a great signal before, but Bitcoin's higher high and clear bullish structure change likely make this time different. x.com x.comÂ
Bittensor's new Gamma tokenomics are unattractive, making the protocol even more complicated and possibly useless. x.comÂ
Bittensor shows clear relative strength as one of the two best cryptos trading above both their 50-day and 200-day moving averages, alongside Hyperliquid, when few cryptos are in uptrends. Its decentralized compute network also drew Jensen Huang's remark that it achieved big technical breakthroughs helping train some Llama models. x.comÂ
Targon's revenue-backed subnet-alpha repurchase gives Bittensor's flywheel a concrete example. Targon says it repurchased and burned 1,772 TAO worth of SN4 alpha using organic revenue, and burned another 6,678 TAO worth of alpha representing revenue generated via Targon. x.com x.comÂ
Bittensor's arbitrary reward functions make its design far more complex than Pearl's MatMul focus, and that complexity works against TAO. Bittensor might still work if it got the design right; if not, repeated revisions may never reach a working end state. Pearl could get there faster and, if correct, get much bigger, though it too may fail. If, as Sebtensor says, TAO is an AI economy rather than AI money, Ethereum's struggle to accrue value to ETH is a further bearish warning. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Bittensor's TAO is the Bitcoin of AI, a decentralized AI marketplace with a 21 million maximum supply. History doesn't repeat, but it rhymes. x.comÂ
Bittensor is the top crypto pick, the Bitcoin of AI, with 100x potential. Its proof of useful work evolves Bitcoin's proof of work: per a piece shared by @wallstreetbets, Bitcoin miners earned $17.2 billion in 2025 burning Poland-scale power to produce nothing beyond securing transactions, while Bittensor's computation produces intelligence. That true utility gives it rare appeal to Bitcoin veterans. x.com x.comÂ
Bittensor's TAO has much more downside to come. The trade was extremely crowded, with everyone talking about it but no one able to articulate a strong bull case, and the timeline is now full of angst, fighting and cope from bagholders. Anyone looking to allocate should be very patient. x.com x.comÂ
Bittensor's subnet economy could lift TAO via Alpha-token demand, but a major rally needs paying AI customers, not emission farming. About 64.2% of circulating TAO was staked as of Oct 7. At ~$3.24B, TAO is no cheap microcap. Still constructive long term, but stronger conviction needs verifiable revenue, demand above issuance, competitive AI products and institutional access. AI sentiment and crypto liquidity must also recover; Grayscale trust filings alone do not guarantee inflows. x.comÂ