Elite
On-Chain Crypto & DeFi Research, Alpha Threads
Zcash is the primary momentum trade as its activity expands through NEAR Intents: CoinDesk reports daily Zcash volume routed through Intents increased sixfold. That routing growth is the fundamental receipt, and the setup holds while Zcash activity keeps expanding through Intents. x.com
Zcash has a big run coming as alt season arrives. A post the author replies to notes altcoins surged 169% last week as bitcoin spiked to $83k and the S&P 500 hit fresh all-time highs. x.com
Holders are rotating from bitcoin into Zcash, and the shift is still early. Per @jeremiahrogers, bitcoin holders who swapped into ZEC through NEAR intents now hold 468,606 ZEC, 2.92% of the network, worth $736M, versus $200.4M had they stayed in bitcoin. x.com
Zcash and Hyperliquid could face less selling pressure because they have newer, stronger narratives than NEAR and fewer holders waiting to sell at breakeven. Their appeal this cycle rests on narrative and hype; they look like this cycle's Ether and Solana. x.com x.com x.com
Low liquidity could cause sharp downside wicks in altcoins over the coming days. Uniswap at $3-6 and Zcash near $800 are levels of interest for bids. Trader_XO sees Zcash near $800, a call that holds here too; the level is expected before year-end. x.com x.com x.com
Zcash's leverage reset to open-interest range lows near 1.1 million ZEC could support a quick move to new highs if momentum returns. Holding its 50-day moving average is a positive first signal, but a sustained reclaim of the blue trendline near $1,330 is the second signal needed for that strong setup. x.com
Real money is showing up for privacy, one of the biggest narratives this year, which is good news for Zcash. Per @MSBIntel, Grayscale's Zcash ETF has raised over $1 billion in 30 trading days, ranking among the best ETF launches of the last ten years. x.com
Zcash's price is running ahead of its usage, so this rally is not one to buy yet. ZEC is becoming the privacy coin Wall Street can buy, as Grayscale works to turn its trust holding 2.3% of supply into an NYSE-listed ETF, and Flexa and CrossPay add spending options. But after a 68% weekly jump to about $14B, nearly twice Monero, the ETF is not live, the 200K ZEC contribution has not happened and fees were about $2K in a day. A live ETF, real inflows and a held pullback would change the view. … Show more
Zcash's cooling social attention points to a multi-week bottoming process nearing its end. The Rollup counts 4,100 weekly ZEC mentions from accounts with over 1,000 followers, down 42% in a week and 68% from the peak of 12,800. x.com
Zcash's privacy is its lasting edge because bank accounts may never become private, while quantum resistance should become a requirement for all survivors. Its public transactions make institutional integration easier than Monero's, giving it a larger potential market. Monero has value and is probably oversold, though FCMP++ has no clear timeline. Institutions' comfort with Zcash could fade if governments clamp down. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com
Zcash is hot because shills realized a year ago it has the perfect setup for them to size in, control the narrative and pump it. That setup combines a sweet-spot market cap, centralized-exchange integrations, a long dormant history and a simple 'bitcoin but private' thesis. x.com
Zcash will probably keep rising because privacy coins are in high demand from people trying to move money out of their countries. It is already up 54x in 1.5 years, in reply to @TheBTCTherapist questioning who is buying it. x.com
