Pendle is positioned for yield trading, which looks like the next DeFi narrative while others chase privacy. x.com
Alan Rogers
Full-Time Crypto Trader
Pendle's growing RWA yield markets could generate trading fees that fund PENDLE buybacks. Its RWA stack is around $1.3B, with Coinbase tokenized equities and Franklin Templeton bond exposure expanding distribution. 80% of protocol fees fund open-market buybacks for sPENDLE holders, recently running ahead of new emissions. PENDLE is not yet priced like onchain rates infrastructure, but a rerating needs recurring fees, not just TVL; Morpho collateral also carries liquidation risk. x.com x.com
Pendle is highly mispriced because it has Michael Saylor's apparent blessing while few are paying attention. Saylor started following Pendle, its team and even PendleIntern, something no other altcoin can claim, and Bitcoin's biggest bull is bullish on a coin with roughly a $300M market cap. The first target is $5. x.com x.com x.com
Pendle's product-market fit wasn't strong enough: it was losing TVL even before the recent DeFi hacks. Capital allocators care about altcoins that make revenue, and Pendle isn't one, while its vote-escrow token model forces holders to lock up in a market where altcoins mostly fall over the long term. @katexbt adds that nobody wants to be in DeFi after the hacks, with layered yield turning into a liability in a bear market. x.com x.com x.com
Pendle's stock-backed yield markets could draw stock investors into DeFi, with more trading feeding fee-funded PENDLE buybacks. SuperNVDA and superTSLA offer PT returns through April 8, 2027 measured in stock tokens; YT buyers bet vault yield exceeds its price, but YT expires worthless. Superform vaults borrow USDC against tokenized stocks to seek yield, carrying borrowing costs and liquidation risk. Lasting use after incentives fade is the test. x.com x.com
Tokenization and demand for real economics make DeFi lending, spot and yield tokens extremely appealing on risk-reward. This unrivaled trend will grow DeFi value 50x or more over multiple years, and fast. The altcoin bear market is forcing better token structures: Ethena, Uniswap and Aave are improving unit economics, Chainlink to some extent. Battle-tested Pendle and Morpho, with efficient businesses and institutional ties, will re-rate hard. A DeFi Summer return is nearly certain. x.com
Pendle is extracting more fees per dollar of TVL than a year ago, the capital efficiency expected of a business with a moat. Trailing-year fees are down 18% while TVL is down 79%, so fees fell about four times slower. sPENDLE buybacks passed 2 million tokens in six months, and PENDLE emissions are down 76% since January. x.com
Bear-market conditions make category-leading tokens with cash flow, real usage and macro relevance worth accumulating in stages. Bitcoin has flushed to $58-61k near its 200-week average, fear sits at 17, and stress at treasury firms like Strategy signals late-downtrend selling, though a Fed without 2026 cuts rules out a V-shaped recovery. Favored: buyback or burn tokens HYPE, ASTER, JUP, SKY, UNI and PUMP; fee-sharing AAVE, MET and PENDLE; ETH as the core; TAO and VIRTUAL for AI; ONDO for RWAs. … Show more
Crypto's next cycle will be won by protocols with real users, revenue and utility that merge trading, banking, AI and cloud into one ecosystem. Hyperliquid has $1.06B of annualized fees, with HIP-3 adding stock perps and commodities; Aave holds $13.1B TVL; Chainlink secures $30.6B; Ondo brings treasuries on-chain. Ethena, Pendle, Maple, Bittensor, Virtuals, io.net, EigenLayer, Wormhole and Arbitrum round out the rails, though Ethena must survive weak funding and EigenLayer needs lasting revenue. … Show more
Ethena is one of the most reflexive assets as yields return: more trading lifts yields, which drives growth of its USDe stablecoin. Its Binance partnership extends the basis trade into equity perpetuals, which Ethena says expands its collateral market from $2.5 trillion of crypto to over $150 trillion of real-world assets. USDe is one of only four stablecoins with real scale and distribution, and most liquid allocators are meaningfully underweight after excessive bearishness in 2025-26. x.com … Show more
Robinhood's onchain business is growing fast, and insuring its onchain yield makes DeFi safer for new users. Per Robinhood Earn's Hillary Skeffington, Robinhood backstopped onchain yield with a Lloyd's of London policy, one of the largest active onchain insurance products in the industry, which shields users from risks like smart-contract hacks. Robinhood Chain is posting insane growth, and per Robinhood's Nicola White, it is introducing what it calls the first true US perps offering. x.com … Show more