Cardano may be preparing for a bigger move than many expect: it is still holding the same level it held during the last bear market while whales keep accumulating in the background. x.comÂ
evans
Crypto Scalper & DeFi Content Creator
Cardano isn't dead and can at least triple from here, since bitcoin still has at least a double left to run. ADA probably won't beat most coins this cycle. x.com x.comÂ
Bitcoin and ether remain attractive for gradual long-term accumulation despite high volatility, with institutional demand still present. Crypto is heavily influenced by large players' buying and selling, and a final wave of panic before the next major rally would not be surprising, especially if that weakness is quickly bought. x.comÂ
Cardano may be the most overvalued asset, with a tiny on-chain economy relative to its $9B market cap. TVL is $128M, daily DEX volume $1.3M, stablecoins $26M and active addresses about 17,000. At some point the market must decide whether it is valuing an ecosystem or just a memory from prior cycles. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Digital assets including Bitcoin, Ether, Solana and XRP could see the largest crypto rotation ever, as a 1-2% shift out of global equities or a stalled AI trade would dwarf 2017 ICO and 2021 retail money. Unlike earlier retail-and-leverage cycles, spot ETFs can absorb billions, corporate treasuries hold large BTC stacks, and tokenization gives TradFi something to underwrite. The 2024-25 ETF wave proved institutions buy when the wrapper looks like a mutual fund. x.comÂ
Bitcoin appears to be in the late stages of its bear market and entering accumulation, based on a cluster of early signals. CryptoQuant's cycle indicator flashed its second early-bull signal, which historically appears as a bottom forms. MVRV and NUPL show the market far from overvalued while whales and corporate treasuries accumulate. Spot demand turned positive, ETFs drew $517 million and $606 million on consecutive days, and Treasury buybacks add liquidity. Chop or a new drop remain possible. … Show more
Older-generation layer-1s such as Cardano and Polkadot lack the catalysts needed for a comeback. A post the author replies to notes Cardano has collapsed 93.4% from a $101B peak to a 5.5-year low. x.comÂ
Cardano is large-cap vapour trending toward zero: a $7B fully diluted valuation is utterly ridiculous for a legacy infrastructure project that has delivered nothing. Everyone holding for the last six years is at a loss, and the next cycle is unlikely to repump it because retail now has more attractive frontier equities to chase. Long revenue-producing crypto assets with value accrual and short vapour infrastructure remains a good long-term trade. x.com x.comÂ
Cardano is getting smoked because it pumped on the L1 narrative and hasn't been cool since 2021; even if that narrative catches a bid again, newer projects and narratives may pass it by. x.comÂ
Cardano is in trouble when its founder publicly questions how to solve its problems. After TapTools shut down, Charles Hoskinson warned that more ADA projects are going to die and that it will be a tough year for the project. x.comÂ