rb3k
Founder of Sailboat, On-Chain Trading App
Robinhood's expansion into new markets and products supports a potential bounce as its shares revisit a repeatedly tested support line near $95. DFSA authorization permits a Dubai retail trading and custody launch in 2027; a Toronto headquarters expands its Canadian presence, while futures and Robinhood Agents broaden the platform. Bitcoin may dip before bouncing, so Robinhood exposure might be good here. x.com x.com
Robinhood's position as the first true institution to come on-chain may give it staying power beyond a hype cycle. Hype cycles come and go, but it is too early to count Robinhood out; its presence is unlikely to disappear over the long term. x.com
Robinhood's earnings miss leaves its revenue vulnerable to a market correction. Revenue could shrink further if the market corrects; a better entry may emerge over the next six months, but that is not assured. x.com
Robinhood's big catalyst is Trump Accounts, which Bloomberg estimates could bring it 14 million new customers. Robinhood was selected as brokerage and initial trustee for these tax-advantaged accounts for US citizens under 18, with a $1,000 government contribution for children born 2025–2028; over 4 million children are registered. The app launches July 4, 2026, fee-free at first, with monetization likely via ETF fees later. Technically, volume support and the gap above $80 look strong. x.com … Show more
Robinhood may quietly be gaining millions of future customers. More than 4 million kids got their first investing account this tax season, and Robinhood helps power the app and support behind it. The stock is retesting major support after a massive run, and the next leg higher could come fast. x.com
Robinhood's growth looks more reliant on wallet share and the market backdrop because customer and active-user growth are weak. Revenue rose 12%, accounts 7% year over year, and net new funded accounts slowed one quarter after acquisition was re-prioritized; adjusted EPS growth unexpectedly turned negative. New customers grew at a mid-single-digit rate and monthly active users fell. MAU is volatile, but needs to improve next quarter. x.com x.com x.com x.com
Robinhood's growing non-crypto businesses make its trading-app valuation look too low. Gold subscribers rose 34% to 5.2 million, platform assets reached $396 billion, and 14 business lines now each generate over $100 million annually. Overweight with a $115 target, despite a weak report: deposits fell to $15.7 billion from $22 billion and net interest income dropped 9% as rates declined. x.com x.com
Robinhood's Q3 report still looks solid despite misses against tough year-ago peak crypto and equity comps. Revenue missed slightly; the EPS miss looks tied to $67M of unrealized mark-to-market losses primarily related to its RVI fund, explaining the drawdown. Its new banking feature looks frictionless: send cash by text without recipients needing Robinhood accounts, a nice Zelle alternative versus its partner bank. Robinhood is cyclical, unlike compounding SoFi, though both are great. x.com … Show more
Robinhood faces the one threat that could somewhat derail it: Charles Schwab is moving into crypto, after caving on 24-hour trading, with a strong thinkorswim platform and an appetite for Robinhood's volume. Robinhood also still trades with bitcoin, peaking when bitcoin did and staying down about 50% with it versus 2.5% for the S&P 500, even with crypto only about 10% of revenue. x.com x.com
Robinhood's growing prediction markets, options and Gold subscriptions make the $90s one of the most exciting times to buy. Q3 event-contract revenue reached $173 million, up over sixfold, options rose 31% to $399 million, and Gold subscribers reached a record 5.2 million. Crypto revenue fell 55% year over year to $120 million, and Dr. Crossroads reported misses on revenue and EPS; Robinhood remains a great buy as its international reach and banking services expand. x.com x.com x.com