Emperor Osmo
DeFi Research, Blockchain Metrics, Ex-Osmosis/Artemis
Solana remains bullish through a mini onchain bear season because it keeps producing real innovation and novel products from really smart developers. Onchain activity is just as weak on Robinhood's chain and BNB, but once it picks back up, Solana's products and coins should rerate. x.com
Solana keeps grinding higher because it is the fastest chain in the space, with real usage, real volume and builders shipping constantly while the rest of the market argues over narratives. The chart projects a 37% next move. x.com
MANLET is severely underpriced and set for a big move now that tourists and flippers are out. As the first flywheel memecoin paired with ANSEM on LaunchOnSF, it is the most direct beta to ANSEM and should trade at about 10% of its market cap, or $27M+. It ranks first on the platform in rewards, volume, holders, market cap and buybacks, and in about a week airdropped $250K of ANSEM to 7,000+ holders and did $1M in buybacks. Fox09 is leading the community takeover. x.com x.com
Solana has lost its moats: speed and retail mindshare carried it this cycle, and every narrative it was meant to own now has a stronger competitor. Memecoin attention is spreading to Robinhood, BNB and Base, Robinhood is coming for tokenized stocks, and Hyperliquid owns perps. Solana's perps did $8.9B last week, which Hyperliquid often does in a day. As more volume settles in its $15.5B of stablecoins, SOL matters less beyond gas. Pump.fun has sold about 4.8M SOL and expanded beyond Solana. … Show more
Solana's disinflation vote passing makes the bull case more obvious every day. The proposal passed with 67% support, a thin margin but not a bad one, and with SOL 64% below its all-time high, breaking that high again should not be very difficult. Buying Solana at $73 is like buying Bitcoin at $73. x.com x.com
Solana is set to gain a trust premium as Stonk Fun becomes the chain's runaway driver of activity, fees and revenue. Copycats have failed to match it, its tokenomics reward holders and small traders, and it diversifies Solana's fees. Solana and its platforms have tens of billions of dollars to deploy, and onchain volume is only 5-10% of bull-market levels. With disinflation and fee-burn proposals passed, and maybe new RWA or DePIN traction, SOL has a real chance of nearing $1K in a blowoff. … Show more
Solana is losing its biggest advantage, the memecoin market, to Robinhood Chain, an Ethereum layer 2, which is why ether should outperform SOL this cycle. Barely two months after launch, PONS on Robinhood Chain generated about $22 million in fees over 30 days, almost half of Pump.fun's $46 million. Robinhood removes the cost and hassle that pushed small traders off Ethereum, settles back to Ethereum with ETH for gas, and adds tokenized stocks as a reason to stay. Direct fees are small for now. … Show more
Pump.fun should hold the stronger medium- to long-term position against FOMO because nearly every new Solana memecoin is born on its bonding curve. PUMP buybacks, about $20M recently, tie platform revenue directly to the token, and Pump.fun's capital lets it absorb front-end losses, such as zero fees, to reclaim share. It earns about $27-28M a month versus FOMO's $10.2M; FOMO leads on user experience, but better social features at Pump.fun could narrow that gap quickly. x.com
Solana cannot sustain memecoin hype because greedy teams such as pump.fun damage the sector and drain capital from it. Pump.fun withdraws an average of about $30m a month in earnings to Kraken and dumps it, and if money doesn't circulate, the chain can't either. SOL has been red for 11 months and sits 80% below its all-time high. x.com