LANGERIUS
Founder of Hunters of Web3, Attorney/Adviser, Investor & Trader
Solana cannot sustain memecoin hype because greedy teams such as pump.fun damage the sector and drain capital from it. Pump.fun withdraws an average of about $30m a month in earnings to Kraken and dumps it, and if money doesn't circulate, the chain can't either. SOL has been red for 11 months and sits 80% below its all-time high. x.comÂ
Pump.fun monetizes by selling SOL to buy PUMP, favoring PUMP over Solana's native token. Over the long term, the two should flip, primarily because SOL is expected to fall to $12. x.comÂ
Pump.fun's continuing Solana sales add selling pressure ahead of a predicted move to $95 before the weekend. It sent another $14m of SOL to Kraken and has sold $875m since 2024 at an average of $160. x.comÂ
Solana is harder to fade because StonkFun's launchpad generated over $20 million in revenue in the last 30 days. SOL price action should follow. x.comÂ
Solana has lost its moats: speed and retail mindshare carried it this cycle, and every narrative it was meant to own now has a stronger competitor. Memecoin attention is spreading to Robinhood, BNB and Base, Robinhood is coming for tokenized stocks, and Hyperliquid owns perps. Solana's perps did $8.9B last week, which Hyperliquid often does in a day. As more volume settles in its $15.5B of stablecoins, SOL matters less beyond gas. Pump.fun has sold about 4.8M SOL and expanded beyond Solana. … Show more
Pump.fun has been parasitic to Solana, selling $834 million of SOL over its lifespan, while Fomo and Robinhood remain accretive to Ethereum. Selling the tokens isn't wrong, just parasitic, though without Pump.fun Solana would arguably be even less desirable. x.com x.comÂ
Solana's 85-fold improvement in finality has yet to show up in SOL's price. Finality fell from 12.8 seconds to about 150 milliseconds yesterday, while SOL slipped 2% and sits near $104 in the accumulation zone. Most won't notice until price does. x.comÂ
Solana's token is losing demand as on-chain liquidity migrates to USDC, including SOL liquidity-provider positions and PumpSwap TVL. A post the author replies to notes that using SOL as a currency is generally net zero, since it is bought, spent and then sold. x.comÂ
Pump.fun should hold the stronger medium- to long-term position against FOMO because nearly every new Solana memecoin is born on its bonding curve. PUMP buybacks, about $20M recently, tie platform revenue directly to the token, and Pump.fun's capital lets it absorb front-end losses, such as zero fees, to reclaim share. It earns about $27-28M a month versus FOMO's $10.2M; FOMO leads on user experience, but better social features at Pump.fun could narrow that gap quickly. x.comÂ
Solana remains bullish through a mini onchain bear season because it keeps producing real innovation and novel products from really smart developers. Onchain activity is just as weak on Robinhood's chain and BNB, but once it picks back up, Solana's products and coins should rerate. x.comÂ
Pump.fun serves memecoin demand that leveraged Bitcoin and Ethereum trading cannot replace. If those trades were a solution to memecoins, Pump.fun would never have emerged; its demand still looks durable. Degenerate News reports that the app added Hyperliquid-powered perps, making PUMP's absence from all-time highs surprising. PUMP also offers a way to own the memecoin casino itself. x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
