Pump.fun monetizes by selling SOL to buy PUMP, favoring PUMP over Solana's native token. Over the long term, the two should flip, primarily because SOL is expected to fall to $12. x.com
Tulip King
Head of Strategy at CounterpartyTV, Crypto Investor
Pump.fun's continuing Solana sales add selling pressure ahead of a predicted move to $95 before the weekend. It sent another $14m of SOL to Kraken and has sold $875m since 2024 at an average of $160. x.com
Pump.fun has been parasitic to Solana, selling $834 million of SOL over its lifespan, while Fomo and Robinhood remain accretive to Ethereum. Selling the tokens isn't wrong, just parasitic, though without Pump.fun Solana would arguably be even less desirable. x.com x.com
Pump.fun cannot attract the outside buyers its meme market needs through paid promotion. Its bought-up crypto feed and Kimchi campaign have failed to make the app or its traders appealing to new users, extending the earlier bearish case for PUMP. x.com
Pump.fun should hold the stronger medium- to long-term position against FOMO because nearly every new Solana memecoin is born on its bonding curve. PUMP buybacks, about $20M recently, tie platform revenue directly to the token, and Pump.fun's capital lets it absorb front-end losses, such as zero fees, to reclaim share. It earns about $27-28M a month versus FOMO's $10.2M; FOMO leads on user experience, but better social features at Pump.fun could narrow that gap quickly. x.com
Solana cannot sustain memecoin hype because greedy teams such as pump.fun damage the sector and drain capital from it. Pump.fun withdraws an average of about $30m a month in earnings to Kraken and dumps it, and if money doesn't circulate, the chain can't either. SOL has been red for 11 months and sits 80% below its all-time high. x.com
Pump.fun’s Kimchi and rug episode reopens the trust wound dragging on PUMP’s value. The token has remained at one-twentieth of HYPE’s market cap for over a year. Simply stopping the current communications strategy could send PUMP up 5x overnight, but repeated antics make that change look unlikely despite a strong desire to long the token. x.com
Pump.fun's expanding trading stack and low sales multiple make PUMP's execution and market dominance look free at today's valuation. Its new bridge joins the launchpad, trading app and DEX while PUMP trades at 2.8x market-cap-to-sales. Each 1% increase in revenue would be about $8.2M annually; a 10% lift would lower that multiple to 2.6x at today's price. x.com
Pump.fun's PUMP token still earns about $1.6 million of revenue a day despite talk that it is dead, and that revenue should rise as on-chain activity heats up. Its daily chart shows great market structure forming, and it is back in a buy zone. The biggest issue is the lack of long-term clarity on buybacks, so it deserves a smaller premium; committing to a fixed minimum share, such as 50%, instead of year-to-year changes would make it easier to trust. x.com x.com
Solana is harder to fade because StonkFun's launchpad generated over $20 million in revenue in the last 30 days. SOL price action should follow. x.com
PUMP will likely eat PONS's lunch if Pump.fun launches on Robinhood Chain, which would also create an interesting dynamic for Solana and its holders. Pump.fun founder Alon's team has proven not worth fading, and many still sidelined on PUMP will regret it. x.com