Solana is harder to fade because StonkFun's launchpad generated over $20 million in revenue in the last 30 days. SOL price action should follow. x.com
Rand Group
Crypto Trader & Investor, Building RR2 Capital, Early-Stage Investing
Solana's app revenue looks more durable than a rival chain's incentive-driven spike. Apps on Solana earned $3.62M a day on Oct. 18 versus $296K on Robinhood Chain; revenue shows who stayed after incentives faded. Solana's figure is still down from $6.84M on Sept. 21, and the rival's volume may be farming rather than real users if its reported DEX share is correct. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com
Solana's 85-fold improvement in finality has yet to show up in SOL's price. Finality fell from 12.8 seconds to about 150 milliseconds yesterday, while SOL slipped 2% and sits near $104 in the accumulation zone. Most won't notice until price does. x.com
Solana is set to gain a trust premium as Stonk Fun becomes the chain's runaway driver of activity, fees and revenue. Copycats have failed to match it, its tokenomics reward holders and small traders, and it diversifies Solana's fees. Solana and its platforms have tens of billions of dollars to deploy, and onchain volume is only 5-10% of bull-market levels. With disinflation and fee-burn proposals passed, and maybe new RWA or DePIN traction, SOL has a real chance of nearing $1K in a blowoff. … Show more
Pump.fun's continuing Solana sales add selling pressure ahead of a predicted move to $95 before the weekend. It sent another $14m of SOL to Kraken and has sold $875m since 2024 at an average of $160. x.com
Solana's financial activity is scaling through stablecoin volume and institutional tokenized funds. It reportedly processed $5 trillion in stablecoin volume in 2026, while JPMorgan Asset Management launched two tokenized money-market funds on Solana for qualified US investors through Morgan Money. x.com x.com
Solana is now a much larger coin and has already had its big growth phase, so Bitcoin should recover first. Solana moves about 1.35x as much as Bitcoin, so a 1.5x Bitcoin move implies roughly $195-$200, not the $234 level at Bitcoin's $125K high. Solana should still reclaim its old high later this cycle. x.com x.com
Pump.fun monetizes by selling SOL to buy PUMP, favoring PUMP over Solana's native token. Over the long term, the two should flip, primarily because SOL is expected to fall to $12. x.com
Solana keeps grinding higher because it is the fastest chain in the space, with real usage, real volume and builders shipping constantly while the rest of the market argues over narratives. The chart projects a 37% next move. x.com
Solana's tokenized-equity spot momentum bolsters its case as an onchain equities venue. SolanaFloor reports Solana reclaimed first place in daily spot volume, exceeding all other chains combined. Solana may not compete with Hyperliquid in perps, but that does little to change this bullish view. x.com
Solana has lost its moats: speed and retail mindshare carried it this cycle, and every narrative it was meant to own now has a stronger competitor. Memecoin attention is spreading to Robinhood, BNB and Base, Robinhood is coming for tokenized stocks, and Hyperliquid owns perps. Solana's perps did $8.9B last week, which Hyperliquid often does in a day. As more volume settles in its $15.5B of stablecoins, SOL matters less beyond gas. Pump.fun has sold about 4.8M SOL and expanded beyond Solana. … Show more
Solana's biggest opportunity may be the financial ecosystem forming around it rather than SOL's price, as more trading, lending, staking, tokenized assets and derivatives create demand for its blockspace. Jupiter is expanding into lending, Helius builds staking infrastructure, Sentora runs stablecoin vaults and xStocks brings tokenized equities. SIMD-0553's resource-based pricing could turn more activity into more fees and SOL burned. Solana ETFs drew $10.26M last week, a seventh week of inflow. … Show more