CryptoCondom
Crypto Market Commentary
Pump.fun monetizes by selling SOL to buy PUMP, favoring PUMP over Solana's native token. Over the long term, the two should flip, primarily because SOL is expected to fall to $12. x.com
Pump.fun's continuing Solana sales add selling pressure ahead of a predicted move to $95 before the weekend. It sent another $14m of SOL to Kraken and has sold $875m since 2024 at an average of $160. x.com
Solana is harder to fade because StonkFun's launchpad generated over $20 million in revenue in the last 30 days. SOL price action should follow. x.com
Solana has lost its moats: speed and retail mindshare carried it this cycle, and every narrative it was meant to own now has a stronger competitor. Memecoin attention is spreading to Robinhood, BNB and Base, Robinhood is coming for tokenized stocks, and Hyperliquid owns perps. Solana's perps did $8.9B last week, which Hyperliquid often does in a day. As more volume settles in its $15.5B of stablecoins, SOL matters less beyond gas. Pump.fun has sold about 4.8M SOL and expanded beyond Solana. … Show more
Solana cannot sustain memecoin hype because greedy teams such as pump.fun damage the sector and drain capital from it. Pump.fun withdraws an average of about $30m a month in earnings to Kraken and dumps it, and if money doesn't circulate, the chain can't either. SOL has been red for 11 months and sits 80% below its all-time high. x.com
Liquid crypto tokens now offer a rare mix of growth and value after a long, deep bear market, because crypto's cyclical capital flows leave fast-growing projects reasonably priced for extended stretches. The most interesting areas are the intersection of crypto and AI, and 24/7 trading and tokenization, with Venice, Pump, Hyperliquid and Ether.fi among the examples. Liquid tokens offer more opportunity than venture deals right now. rss.flightcast.com
Solana's token is losing demand as on-chain liquidity migrates to USDC, including SOL liquidity-provider positions and PumpSwap TVL. A post the author replies to notes that using SOL as a currency is generally net zero, since it is bought, spent and then sold. x.com
Pump.fun should hold the stronger medium- to long-term position against FOMO because nearly every new Solana memecoin is born on its bonding curve. PUMP buybacks, about $20M recently, tie platform revenue directly to the token, and Pump.fun's capital lets it absorb front-end losses, such as zero fees, to reclaim share. It earns about $27-28M a month versus FOMO's $10.2M; FOMO leads on user experience, but better social features at Pump.fun could narrow that gap quickly. x.com
Solana is becoming a one-stop shop for all of finance rather than just a memecoin casino, and could easily triple from here. Tokenized-asset spot volume on Solana hit an all-time high of about $5.7B in Q2, a sign real-world assets are finding liquidity onchain; memes brought attention, tokenized markets bring structure. World's launch put a prediction market directly inside Phantom. Solana's token inflation is a worry that hopefully gets fixed. x.com x.com x.com
PUMP will likely eat PONS's lunch if Pump.fun launches on Robinhood Chain, which would also create an interesting dynamic for Solana and its holders. Pump.fun founder Alon's team has proven not worth fading, and many still sidelined on PUMP will regret it. x.com