Rosanna Prestia
Founder & CEO of Hydra Wealth/Capital, Investment Strategist, Asymmetry & Bitcoin
Sivers Semiconductors' CEO buying stock is a bullish signal. @napoleon21st notes the CEO just bought over a quarter million dollars' worth. Insider buys tend to be bullish, while insider sells are not necessarily bearish because insiders sell for many personal reasons; neither is a clear signal, much as options flow reveals positioning without revealing intent. x.com x.comÂ
Sivers' roughly SEK 700M raise is the accretive kind, funding supply-short InP laser and optical amplifier capacity for AI data centers and LiDAR rather than covering losses. It was multiple times oversubscribed at about a 9.7% discount, underwritten by institutions, for roughly 3.3% dilution. Per @softmaxedx, CFO Heine Thorsgaard ran similar raises at Napatech, which now trades above both placement prices. x.com x.comÂ
Aeva's move into NPO/CPO is highly bullish for Sivers, again at the center of photonics through its CW-DFB lasers. Sivers is regarded as Aeva's laser supplier, and Aeva signed a joint development deal with an optical engine maker for a major hyperscaler, deploying in 2H27 and ramping in 2028. Per @ParadisLabs, Sivers partner GlobalFoundries expects silicon photonics revenue to more than double in 2026, with NPO ramping in 2027 and CPO in 2028. Jane Street closed its Sivers short. x.com x.com … Show more
Joby Aviation insiders are buying, and insiders sell for many reasons but buy for only one. x.comÂ
Sivers Semiconductors keeps getting bad news, now a report that its Head of Photonics has sold all his shares. Per that unconfirmed report, McKee owned just over one million shares at the start of the year, sold about half in the first quarter and the remaining roughly 515,000 in the second. x.comÂ
Sivers Semiconductors is undervalued because its photonics subsidiary's valuation potential is likely grossly mispriced, though that unit deserves a hefty discount until listed. Sivers Photonics failed to list via a SPAC in 2024, even early in the AI boom; the main wireless business is boring; and unlisted subsidiaries trade at deep discounts until holders see a path to monetization. Per @aleabitoreddit, Sivers, a laser maker for hyperscaler photonic supply chains, is valued at only about $200M. … Show more
Lightwave Logic, LPKF and Sivers are picks-and-shovels bets on AI bottlenecks: whoever solves heat dissipation and packaging wins the next decade. NVIDIA's roadmap shows it quietly depends on these technologies, making them structural necessities, with upside well beyond 10x if they become global standards. Lightwave Logic and LPKF are the top picks, and conviction in Sivers on optics is high. Losses are normal at this stage; once they turn profitable, a 3x share gain is plausible. x.com x.comÂ
Sivers Semiconductors is expensive because its valuation rests on a $1.2 billion opportunity pipeline, an unreliable KPI. At 15% conversion next year, it trades near 22x 2027 sales versus Lumentum's 14x and Coherent's and AAOI's 5x, and about 13x 2029 sales versus 3-9x for incumbents with contracted LTAs. The InP laser shortage is Lumentum's and Coherent's asset; Sivers gains access only in H2 2027 if all goes to plan and needs the shortage into 2028. It is a swing trade, not a conviction hold. … Show more
Insider purchases are a bullish signal for GameStop, Adobe, Salesforce, Lululemon and now Opendoor. Kasra Nejatian bought $100k of Opendoor on August 14; Ryan Cohen bought $26.4M of GameStop, David Ricks $1.9M of Adobe, David Blair Kirk $999k of Salesforce and Charles Bergh $500k of Lululemon. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
US institutions accumulating Sivers Semiconductors into a tiny float, with a Nasdaq dual-listing vote on the horizon, is a clear signal. Per @aleabitoreddit, BlackRock has entered as a passive owner after an index listing and Fidelity Research has started direct positions, following JPMorgan's build from small positions to about 5.25% of the company, which @aleabitoreddit reads as US institutions validating Sivers's position in photonics. x.comÂ
Sivers Semiconductors' management is letting a generational InP bottleneck pass it by. Burning cash on incremental fab tweaks keeps it just a laser vendor, and the call gave generic evasions on the two metrics that move the stock: its six pluggable engagements and foundry allocations. The CFO's hedging on a US dual listing shows timid complacency that will keep Sivers priced like a sleepy European component supplier rather than a high-multiple tech engine like SK hynix or ASML. x.comÂ
Sivers Semiconductors has a real, qualified design win with GlobalFoundries, answering short-seller doubts about its AI pipeline. GlobalFoundries is integrating Sivers' indium-phosphide laser arrays into its silicon photonics platform and SCALE co-packaged optics engines, the high-bandwidth, low-power interconnects AI clusters need. @MoodyWriter13 notes it is not a supply contract and has no delivery timeline or committed volume, but as a design win it is a big deal. x.com x.comÂ
