Microchip's long-term foundry deal with Everspin adds quality option value and strengthens its standing as a US specialty manufacturer, though the stock still hinges on inventory, utilization, margins and debt. Microchip will make Everspin's MRAM and TMR sensor wafers at its Oregon Fab 4 for at least ten years, putting idle capacity to work as an ITAR-ready onshore source. First shipments target late 2027 and volumes are small, so the near-term earnings impact is limited. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  … Show more

Everspin Technologies is a high-risk MRAM pure play that could multiply if MRAM scales. Microchip's onshore MRAM foundry deal secures a second source, and expanded production feeds directly into revenue, with defense, space and AI-edge memory demand as beneficiaries. The real test is 2027-2029, when mass production, customer growth and revenue must show up; today expectations exceed results. Risks include a small, volatile company, customer concentration, an early market and production delays. … Show more

Everspin's 38.6% surge to $18.28 after its Q1 beat has likely pulled forward much of the near-term upside: at about $425M, or 7x trailing sales, it already prices in much of 2026-2027 growth. Product sales grew 28% to $14.1M and a $40M defense contract bridges about $16M a year, but reaching $25-$30 needs quarterly revenue above $20M, hinging on July 2026 STT-MRAM qualification and a Microchip ramp with recurring orders not due until 2H 2027. Litigation costs weigh on GAAP income. x.com 

Everspin Technologies is a unique memory supercycle play alongside Micron and SanDisk, as the only public standalone pure-play on MRAM, which pairs SRAM's speed with keeping data without power. TSMC and Samsung offer MRAM only as an embedded feature. Everspin has similar beta to Micron and SanDisk on a much smaller market cap, so it should swing harder, and it just had phenomenal earnings. The weekly chart shows strong support; the last buy signal brought a roughly 450% rally. x.com  x.com 

Everspin's MRAM is becoming indispensable for persistent, low-power, high-reliability computing at the edge, in vehicles and in defense, setting up a SanDisk-like breakout on a smaller scale if adoption accelerates. A move to $100 would not be shocking. This is high-conviction speculation: competition from embedded MRAM at scale, density and cost challenges, and a valuation already pricing in optimism make execution risk real, and analyst targets of about $12-18.50 lag the price. x.com  x.com 

Everspin's execution does not match its monopoly: revenue growth has been inconsistent and margins all over the place, so results look worse than its positioning warrants. It is the world's only at-scale maker of Toggle MRAM, radiation-immune memory the US military uses in missiles, submarines and aerospace. Its new $40M Department of War contract requires it to hand over its process technology if it ever stops making MRAM, and a Microchip partnership adds domestic production in Oregon. x.com 

Everspin's case rests on follow-on Department of Defense programs within 18 months; if they do not come, the thesis is wrong. Kerrisdale's short report is right that the valuation is disconnected from fundamentals and revenue has stagnated for five years, but wrongly treats the $40M contract as a revenue event rather than a domestic capability buildout. It also underplays LEO satellites, about 10% of revenue, where Toggle MRAM's radiation hardness matters. The Q2 report on August 6 is next. … Show more

Micron's sold-out high-bandwidth memory through 2027+ and contracts already being signed for 2029-2030+ extend its earnings runway. At 5x forward earnings, it is cheaper than a year ago; its private Anthropic stake is about to be instantly rerated at Anthropic's IPO, and a new share buyback is expected to be announced Dec. 9. Micron could certainly gain 30% in three months. x.com  x.com 

Everspin's MRAM rally makes little sense, as the market is not that large and there is no MRAM monopoly. Absent an unknown breakthrough using MTJs for AI, there is no reason for the bid, and the space angle, raised by @ryandonovan23, fails because data centers will never be in space. x.com  x.com  x.com 

Everspin Technologies looks cheap against its sales, trading at 7x sales and 5x next year's when chipmakers usually get 6x. At 6x next year's sales, give or take 12%, fair value is $20.03-$25.49, versus $18.71 now. This is a levels-only read off reported earnings and revenue estimates, with no fundamental work. x.com