Everspin's case rests on follow-on Department of Defense programs within 18 months; if they do not come, the thesis is wrong. Kerrisdale's short report is right that the valuation is disconnected from fundamentals and revenue has stagnated for five years, but wrongly treats the $40M contract as a revenue event rather than a domestic capability buildout. It also underplays LEO satellites, about 10% of revenue, where Toggle MRAM's radiation hardness matters. The Q2 report on August 6 is next. x.comÂ
