General Mills looks like a good buy after a sharp selloff. @tsxman notes it trades at trough multiples, as Campbell's does, possibly dragged down by Conagra's CEO change, and argues that consumers keep buying its products every week. x.comÂ
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Campbell's outlook is deteriorating. It cut its dividend from 39 cents to 25 cents, lowered guidance and said 2027 looks even worse. x.comÂ
Conagra is priced for permanent decline when the market is really pricing in fear, setting up a turnaround. Its brands, including Slim Jim, Duncan Hines and Birds Eye, sit in 90% of American pantries, yet the stock is down 45% from its highs. A director bought $358,500 of stock at the 52-week low, a new CEO arrives June 1 after an 11-year tenure, and a 9.8% dividend yield pays holders to wait. Morningstar puts fair value at $32 versus a $14 price. x.comÂ
General Mills will struggle to raise prices or grow as GLP-1 drugs and inflation push shoppers toward store brands and away from cereals. It has two years of negative EPS growth and estimates, and its operating cash flow and margins should suffer in that environment. The company does produce cash and is cheap, as @calvinfroedge notes with $2-3B of annual operating cash flow and a shareholder yield above 10%. x.com x.comÂ