IREN keeps diluting shareholders heavily while spending money on sponsoring the Golden State Warriors' jerseys and the All In podcast, raising questions about how the rest of its money is spent. x.com
Bill 'Latency Lord' Brennan
Fundamental Growth Investor, B2B/Sector Leaders & Picks-and-Shovels
IREN looks like a joke company for spending on sponsorships and giving away executive shares without announcing deals. It sponsors sports teams and the All-In podcast while giving its CEO and brother tens of millions of free shares tied to no performance metrics. x.com
IREN's predatory management and markedly weaker execution than Nebius make it hard to take seriously while Mike Alfred remains on its board. Barring an oversold bounce, IREN looks cooked big time with more time. x.com x.com
Open-source models likely wrecked the heavy-capex thesis behind IREN. Debt CDS and falling token prices make the still-bullish view definitely less so. Unlike Roku, a previous long-term hold with a unique, massive user base, low capex and positive free cash flow, IREN lacks a clear path forward; without one, it is better not to hold it. If Warsh remains hawkish, a full exit from IREN is very likely. x.com x.com
IREN is not worth owning because management cannot be trusted, whatever its appeal or the Anthropic rumors. The last straw is a roughly $800M stock grant to co-CEOs Dan and Will Roberts with no performance metrics, after the Awaken acquisition and $50M a year for a Golden State Warriors deal. @StockzOnTap cites a six-year lock-up and no new grants until 2031, but founders should not need such pay; IREN's edge was power secured earlier. @dsabs11 adds it has not delivered its first big contract. … Show more
IREN looks like an absurd management money grab, with compensation that carries zero performance hurdles. x.com
IREN's $8 billion in cash against a valuation of just $10 billion points to unfathomable upside potential. Its shares are back below their $28 IPO price. x.com
IREN's worsening fundamentals warrant patience despite its potential. Trailing free cash flow is -$2.45 billion, net income -$703 million and EPS -$1.64 even as revenue has grown; it needs a catalyst change and a positive trend in fundamentals. x.com
IREN's lack of focus is a big red flag. Per @mvcinvesting, its CEO said on the May earnings call that it doesn't need a sales team when it has Nvidia, yet IREN then acquired a creative and media agency and signed a multiyear deal with the Golden State Warriors. x.com
IREN looks cheap below $35 and is favored over DigitalOcean, whose stock looks bubbly against an estimated $110 value despite its appeal as a business. A switch toward IREN is under consideration if things go well. x.com x.com
IREN is one to avoid, as lack of transparency and poor overall management add to its valuation, dilution, capital, execution and customer-concentration risks. Secondhand accounts suggest the earnings call was far from reassuring and left more questions than answers. x.com