Philip
Founder & CEO of Intrinsiqq, Value & Growth Investor
Nvidia, ServiceNow, Adobe, Broadcom, American Express, Duolingo, MercadoLibre, Oscar Health, Oracle, Zeta, Netflix and Nebius are profit machines with massive fundamental growth. Short-term prices move on hype and emotion, but long-term they follow earnings and cash flow. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
Low forward earnings multiples across eleven stocks cannot persist indefinitely. Nvidia trades near 17.5x, its lowest in over a decade; Oracle near 15x, its lowest in six years. Uber is at 17x, Broadcom 19x, Vistra 15x, AppLovin 14.5x, TSMC 19x, Forgent Power Solutions 18x, Nokia 19.5x, American Express 17x and Western Digital 14x. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
Quality and price favor these eight stocks. Amazon improves as its multiple falls; Uber generates serious cash flow; Netflix is more profitable at a lower multiple; ServiceNow grew amid multiple compression. SoFi's appeal hinges on earnings near management's long-term expectations. McDonald's ranks among the world's highest-quality businesses at one of its more reasonable valuations in years. AI disruption weighs on Adobe's valuation; Brookfield compounds assets at a comfortable long-term price. … Show more
Netflix at 33x is too expensive for 16% revenue growth after an extremely ugly quarter. It missed its EPS guide and guided lower, is about to test short-form video, which says a lot about organic growth concerns, and its founder is leaving. By comparison, Nvidia trades at 22x growing 72% and Reddit at 21x growing 69%. x.comÂ
Cash generation and market values have diverged for these twelve beaten-down stocks. Over the long term, valuations tend to follow the cash businesses produce; the charts compare quarterly free cash flow with market capitalization for Uber, Netflix, Intuit, Adobe, PayPal, McDonald's, Snap, Duolingo, Chewy, Pinterest, Reddit and e.l.f. Beauty. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
These ten businesses look ridiculously cheap against their own history on forward earnings. SoFi trades at 22.7x vs 48x in 2025, Uber 17x vs 24x last year, Netflix 20.6x vs 39x in 2024, Amazon 27x vs 45x in 2023, ServiceNow 31.1x vs 68x in 2024, Nvidia 19x vs 36x in 2025, Salesforce 16.2x vs 30-32x, Adobe 9x vs 26x in 2024, Microsoft 25.3x vs 32-35x, and Broadcom 20.5x vs 44x in 2025. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
Netflix is massively overvalued for its slowing growth, while Meta grows much faster at a dramatically cheaper price. Netflix guided Q2 below expectations, with only 8% growth and a revenue slowdown plus margin decline leaving meagre EPS growth, yet it trades at a big premium to the Mag 7. Price increases have reignited growth before, and there is no view on where their tipping point lies. At $75 the stock was much cheaper and could be better value again there. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com … Show more
Nvidia, Alphabet, Visa, Amazon, Adobe, Mastercard, Microsoft, Nu, Meta and Netflix are elite earnings compounders worth owning for the next decade. As Peter Lynch said, over the long term there is a 100% correlation between a company's earnings and its stock price. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
SoFi is the highest-conviction pick among eight businesses to own for 5+ years, as the market underestimates how big its financial ecosystem can become. Amazon has many ways to compound; Uber's core works, with autonomy as upside; ServiceNow has deep switching costs and a long AI runway. Zeta Global is riskier, with huge upside if growth quality holds. Netflix's margins, cash flow, pricing power, ads and scale are underrated; AMD offers data center exposure; AppLovin appeals at the right price. … Show more
ServiceNow, Adobe, Amazon, Meta, Celsius, e.l.f. Beauty, Oracle and Duolingo will see further downside unless they rebound in the next few months, as investors sell them to offset taxes on massive gains in semiconductor names such as AMD, Nebius, Arm, Micron and SanDisk. x.comÂ
These ten companies could become materially larger businesses over the next 5-10 years. SoFi is early in building an ecosystem around a fast-growing member base; AMD has data center, AI and rack-scale growth; Oscar pairs growth with better insurance economics; Zeta is small versus its opportunity. AI can make ServiceNow more central; Snap, the most speculative, has nearly a billion users; AppLovin's ad engine is powerful; CoreWeave rides AI demand; CrowdStrike and Toast keep widening platforms. … Show more
