Philip
Founder & CEO of Intrinsiqq, Value & Growth Investor
Low forward earnings multiples across eleven stocks cannot persist indefinitely. Nvidia trades near 17.5x, its lowest in over a decade; Oracle near 15x, its lowest in six years. Uber is at 17x, Broadcom 19x, Vistra 15x, AppLovin 14.5x, TSMC 19x, Forgent Power Solutions 18x, Nokia 19.5x, American Express 17x and Western Digital 14x. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
Growing businesses amid steep share declines make eight stocks generational buying opportunities. Nvidia guides toward over 70% growth in 2027 at 17.8x forward earnings, its cheapest valuation in a decade. Broadcom's AI chip revenue rose 221%; Amazon's backlog rose 154.4%; Oracle has $664B of backlog, half expected to convert within three years. Uber trips rose 18.3%, IREN AI cloud revenue rose 109.6%, Nokia AI and cloud sales rose 105%, and AppLovin exceeds 1B daily active users. x.comÂ
Broadcom is more overvalued than people realize. Its forecast of $230B in revenue by 2028 has the market valuing it at roughly $2T, yet Meta already generates that much revenue and is far less cyclical. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Cash generation and market values have diverged for these twelve beaten-down stocks. Over the long term, valuations tend to follow the cash businesses produce; the charts compare quarterly free cash flow with market capitalization for Uber, Netflix, Intuit, Adobe, PayPal, McDonald's, Snap, Duolingo, Chewy, Pinterest, Reddit and e.l.f. Beauty. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
Quality and price favor these eight stocks. Amazon improves as its multiple falls; Uber generates serious cash flow; Netflix is more profitable at a lower multiple; ServiceNow grew amid multiple compression. SoFi's appeal hinges on earnings near management's long-term expectations. McDonald's ranks among the world's highest-quality businesses at one of its more reasonable valuations in years. AI disruption weighs on Adobe's valuation; Brookfield compounds assets at a comfortable long-term price. … Show more
Uber's valuation is out of balance with its fundamental trajectory over the medium term, and the long-term thesis is less convincing than it once was. It became a cash-flow machine sooner than expected, but the past couple of years have been a grind. It is a hold now and a sell if it reaches the top of its technical channel around $100. x.com x.comÂ
AI product, networking, compute and power demand could reward patient owners of Meta, Nokia, Oracle, Broadcom, IREN and Vistra. Meta's Muse could unlock massive revenue; free cash flow could recover when AI spending slows. Nokia works with Nvidia on AI-RAN and 6G. Oracle has $664B in obligations and massive potential reward from OpenAI. Broadcom's AI chip revenue rose 221% to $16.7B; IREN has a $9.7B Microsoft contract and 5 GW of power. AI power bottlenecks favor Vistra. x.com x.com x.com x.com … Show more
Their business strengths and growing revenue support a confident years-long outlook for Amazon, Uber, Broadcom, American Express and Meta. Amazon spans e-commerce, cloud, ads, logistics, streaming and robotics; Uber leads mobility and delivery; Broadcom supplies custom AI chips to major companies; American Express has a premium card business; and Meta leads advertising with 3.6 billion daily active people. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ
Rapid revenue growth against forward valuations makes Nvidia and Micron additional calculated risks after the selloff, alongside Meta, Broadcom, IREN, Vistra, Nokia and Oracle. Nvidia grew revenue 106% and guides Q3 to $108B, plus or minus 2%, at 17.5x forward earnings; Micron grew revenue 379% to $54.2B, guides $61.5B next quarter and trades at 5x. The other six retain their growth, contracted-demand or customer-order cases. x.comÂ
Growth and recovery prospects make these ten stocks look inexpensive below 20x forward earnings. SK hynix, Micron and Sandisk benefit from memory and storage demand; Vistra from electricity demand; Oracle and Nvidia from AI infrastructure; Nu from banking growth and Uber from cash generation. Novo Nordisk's improving execution could make 12x attractive despite pricing pressure. Onsemi's recovery could run further as AI power efficiency matters more. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com … Show more