GrowthTurtle
Data Science PhD & IEEE Fellow, Ex-Two Sigma
ABB owns the supply in the transformer and switchgear shortage that is delaying 50% of 2026 US data centers, and its record Q1 order intake leaves the thesis intact. Equipment prices are up 77-95% since 2019, and management guided to a confident 2026 with customers planning ahead. Kepler raised its price target to CHF 80 even while downgrading on valuation. x.comÂ
Vertiv's surging orders and Q3 growth show AI infrastructure demand exceeding expectations. Per WallStEngine, revenue rose 61% to $4.3B, adjusted EPS rose 78% to $2.21, organic orders grew more than 100%, and FY26 guidance was raised above estimates. Vertiv is delivering into accelerating demand for its power and cooling equipment. x.com x.comÂ
Meta's unmet AI demand pays its bottleneck suppliers. Super Micro's $19.5B quarterly outlook and under 8x forward earnings point to a double. CoreWeave's Meta deals total $35.2B; it should easily top $100. Builders say nearly all new sites use Dell or Super Micro; Dell could easily double. Micron's demand is off the charts at 5x forward earnings. Sources say Vertiv's gear is sold out for 2-3 years. VivoPower has 2GW+ potential in 5-7 years. Digi Power X has a $1.1B Cerebras deal. x.com x.com … Show more
Per Truist, AI data center capacity grows from 24GW to 100GW by 2030, and every watt must be converted, stored and cooled before a GPU runs, paying firms between grid and chip. DC-DC conversion is the layer to watch, as rising density makes each efficiency point worth more: Monolithic Power, Vicor, Infineon, TI, Analog Devices, Renesas, onsemi. Panasonic appears in six layers and Delta in four, paid more than once per rack. Eaton, Vertiv, GE Vernova, Schneider and ABB bring power in. x.comÂ
GE Vernova's turbines and grid equipment make it a clear winner from the AI data-center power crunch. Q3 equipment sales rose 42%, total revenue 27% and operating income 281% as margins expanded. Grade: A. x.comÂ
AI data-center investment needs outside AI spending to rise 33-fold by 2030 to break even. Hyperscalers hold $4.5 trillion in debt and future liabilities, but corporate and SaaS token spending outside circular deals is only $60 billion annualized against a $2 trillion break-even ARR. SK hynix says memory shortages may last until 2031, raising capex and CoreWeave default risk; Mitsubishi warns turbines are booked through 2031 and cost 400% more, delaying CoreWeave and Oracle data centers. x.com … Show more
Dycom looks compelling because its infrastructure backlog and operating execution position it to benefit from AI's demand for power, fiber, and data centers. Its backlog has grown to $12.2 billion from $8 billion a year ago, Building Systems EBITDA margins exceed 20%, and Power Solutions is running 30% ahead of acquisition expectations. The long-term growth opportunity may be underappreciated as the market focuses on near-term margin pressure. x.comÂ
Grid suppliers are winning the next AI bottleneck, because power must reach data centers through transformers, substations, switchgear and transmission the grid lacks. Transformer lead times stretched from 24 months in 2019 to five years, per HSBC, and PJM got 220 GW of generation applications by April 2026 versus 2.1 GW connected in 2025. The White House designated switchgear and substations defense-essential. Forgent, Eaton, Powell, Hubbell, nVent, Quanta, MYR, AMSC, GE Vernova and Itron fit. … Show more
Hitachi is difficult to leave out of a substation build. Its offerings span transformers, disconnects, busbars, circuit breakers, instrument transformers, surge arresters and capacitor banks, supporting the bullish view on its shares. x.com x.comÂ
Forgent Power Solutions is one of the few US makers able to supply data centers with fully custom high-voltage power distribution systems, which AI's growing power needs require. Q3 revenue rose 103% to $379M versus $292M expected, record orders of $867M rose 308%, backlog grew 157% to $1.98B with a 2.3x book-to-bill, and guidance was raised. Short lead times and deep customization are hard to copy. The stock broke out of a three-month base; pullbacks to $44 or the $40 EMA20 are good entries. … Show more
Data center and power plays are very undervalued because demand is set to outpace supply by a wide margin. TrendForce expects a 170GW gap by 2030, and a widening gap means massive pricing power gains for Nebius, Cipher, TeraWulf, Hut 8 and Keel Infrastructure that are not priced in. x.comÂ
