Techquity
Technology Investor, Fundamental Research
Brookfield may be one of the safest undervalued stocks around, with a realistic path to triple over the next five years if execution stays strong. Its mix of infrastructure, power, asset management and long-duration capital makes it a boring business with huge upside rather than a lottery ticket. x.comÂ
The Brookfield ecosystem looks increasingly attractive long term, pairing Brookfield Asset Management's asset-light fee machine with Brookfield Renewable's exposure to the enormous power and infrastructure buildout. Westinghouse adds another potentially powerful growth engine tied to the nuclear renaissance. Brookfield has consistently allocated capital well across cycles, and its scale and access to capital create a formidable moat. x.comÂ
Brookfield Corporation's accounts look like pure book cooking. It pays premium prices for acquisitions and then sets its own valuations on the assets once it owns them, so results that seem fine on the surface do not hold up on closer inspection. x.comÂ
Brookfield should make a lot of money from three long-term trends happening at once: more digital infrastructure, cleaner energy and countries pulling supply chains closer to home. Management sees decades of building projects such as power plants, data centers and transmission lines, with power for AI data centers the biggest and fastest-growing piece. x.comÂ
Brookfield has one of the most underrated AI angles. It committed $100 billion to build a new AI cloud business and already has the permits, power and land in place. It trades at 16x distributable earnings while guiding for 20% annual growth through 2030. Its CEO calls AI the utility of the future, embedded in daily life without people noticing. x.comÂ
Brookfield can triple and still be a bad investment because its valuation is too high. Even compounding at the 24% annual rate @InvestInAssets cites, it trades at a P/E of 90 against a recent historic range of 7 to 15, and its EPS has swung up and down rather than climbing steadily over 14 years, which does not justify a stable high multiple. x.comÂ
Brookfield Corporation looks very underpriced at $37 against management's $67 plan value per share, which it expects to hit $140 by 2031. Brookfield targets $16.8B of distributable earnings by 2031 including carry, a 24% CAGR, as a 10-15 year AI, power and infrastructure cycle needs private capital, and expects $25B of carried interest over ten years versus $4B in the last ten. A 25bp hike isn't material: as rates rose from 0.25% to 5% in 2022-23, AUM grew 33% and DE per share 41%. x.com x.com … Show more
Many high-quality stocks still trade at deep discounts even with the S&P 500 just 2% below its all-time high. Uber, Nu, AppLovin, Inter, American Express, Klarna, SoFi, MercadoLibre and Booking trade at 6-32x 2027 earnings with five-year revenue CAGRs of 11-58%. Brookfield trades at 15x 2027 distributable earnings, with an 18% five-year growth rate. Consensus price targets include $101 for Uber, $501 for AppLovin and $2,200 for MercadoLibre. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com … Show more
Brookfield Corporation is not enticing near current valuations because of its accounting practices, of which office real estate is only the tip of the iceberg. @NickNemo17 notes Brookfield uses IFRS fair value for investment properties, so depreciation mostly disappears and investors must trust management's marks; before BPY was taken private it showed $321M of depreciation against about $100B of real estate. x.comÂ
Six high-quality favorites of well-known investors trade at discounts: Uber 28%, held by Bill Ackman and Thomas Russo; Fair Isaac 53% and Intuit 46%, held by Dev Kantesaria and Lindsell Train; Microsoft 29%, held by AltaRock and Chris Hohn; Brookfield 23%, held by Josh Tarasoff and Chuck Akre; and S&P Global 27%, held by Kantesaria and Hohn. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com x.comÂ