SK hynix's US listing trades at a 20% premium to Korea, hard to justify for a peak cyclical name on peak earnings whose estimates were just revised down. x.com
Masa’s Son
Non-Consensus Long/Short Technology Investor
SK hynix remains a buying opportunity, with its US ADR premium over Korean shares now at an all-time low of 32.66%. x.com x.com
SK hynix should reprice strongly because its blowout earnings make the case that memory is structurally different now. At the current earnings pace, it would earn back its entire market cap in two years; buybacks and dividends also return cash to shareholders and add to value. x.com
SK hynix's expected widening supply-demand gap makes the 2028 downcycle implied by its valuation seem impossible. SK hynix management says its shares are undervalued relative to earnings and cash flow, and that assessment rings true. x.com x.com
SK hynix's record earnings and five-year volume and spec agreements make its valuation look too low. Quarterly revenue reached KRW104.62T, up 32%, and operating profit hit $63B against a $785B market cap, below AMD's and less than half Tesla's. Its planned KRW100T (~$75B) shareholder return would be one of the world's largest, signaling conviction and unusual demand visibility. AI-inference 3D DRAM is coming by 2030; a reasonable valuation is all that is sought. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com … Show more
SK hynix's dividend delivers far less value to holders of its premium-priced US ADRs than buybacks would. The ADR premium destroys a third of the yield, and income taxes push the total value lost versus buybacks above 50%; the dividend decision is atrocious for US holders. x.com x.com
SK hynix's reported growth and shareholder returns make its low earnings multiple stand out. Revenue rose 328% year over year and operating profit 632%, with shareholder returns worth about 9.5% of market cap, yet the stock trades at roughly 3.0 times estimated 2027 earnings. x.com
SK hynix is a leveraged $1.5 trillion company headed for a "doomsday" reckoning. Its shares have already dropped from $194 last week to $120. x.com
SK hynix is cheap relative to the strong business growth expected in 2026 and 2027. The shares rose 18% in a day after that case was laid out. x.com
SK hynix's 'insane' earnings set up a sharp move higher in the shares. x.com
Korea's cheap headline valuation is an illusion created by the heavy weight of cheaply valued memory makers Samsung and SK hynix. Strip those two out and the Korean market would trade at a premium to the global market. Benchmarks built on the median of each market's top 20 companies give a more objective picture than @RJCcapital's point that the Kospi forward P/E is at its lowest since the financial crisis. x.com x.com