Disney's improved fundamentals against a compressed P/E make the shares a coiled spring. Revenue is climbing 5-10% yearly, net income rose from $2 billion to $12 billion, and margins expanded while the stock has not reached a new all-time high in six years. That is a six-year discount with sixfold better fundamentals. x.com 

Netflix's competition and valuation leave its risk/reward well behind other opportunities. It competes with Amazon, Disney, Apple and YouTube, while trading at about 20x next-twelve-month earnings for roughly 14% annual EPS growth over the next few years. It is mostly a great company, but these numbers do not make it a multibagger. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com 

Disney is a dog with fleas. Absurdly high theme-park prices face demand elasticity as a weakening consumer in a K-shaped economy pulls back. Its movie lineup is dated, with live-action Moana joining Snow White as box-office bombs; its balance sheet carries heavy debt from poorly conceived acquisitions that could curb park spending; and AI threatens several businesses. There is a price for everything: below $90, reward versus risk turns favorable. x.com  x.com 

Disney's value rests far more on theme parks, resorts and cruise lines than on films: those businesses grossed over $36.2B last year alone, versus $31B lifetime across all 31 Marvel movies. Strong box office helps, and the stock could head toward about $125. x.com 

Nintendo sits on the most valuable IP catalogue in entertainment and still looks underpriced relative to Disney. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's $372.5 million global opening weekend, the biggest of the year so far, shows that huge box office for video game IP films is the new normal. x.com 

Disney is a value trap over the medium to long term, with no real reason to structurally re-rate. It can work as a tactical trade, to own when parks data is good and consumers keep absorbing price increases. That answers @ErnestWongBWM's case that parks are about 60% of profits and the stock trades below 15 times 2026 consensus EPS. x.com 

Disney's stock has gone nowhere since 2015 even as the business grew substantially. Revenue doubled, its cruise fleet doubled from four to eight ships, Disney+ and Hulu became a streaming powerhouse, parks hit record revenue and attendance, and it broke the record for highest-grossing animated film three times. x.com 

Netflix's valuation is still far from cheap for its growth profile, at over 20 times cash flow and 6 times sales, so the stock's continued fall after solid quarterly results is justified. After the failed Warner acquisition, Netflix still lacks timeless franchises and brands, and sequels to its own productions regularly disappoint and fall short of Disney and Warner quality. The stock is not worth touching even around $60. x.com 

Disney is very likely to break below its 200-period moving average, opening a path to $40, with the fourth quarter of 2021 marking the peak. Streaming cancellations are skyrocketing, and people who can't afford groceries won't go to Disney parks either. x.com 

Netflix no longer needs perfect execution after its valuation reset to about 20-22x forward earnings and 5.5-6x forward sales, from 50x+ and 10x+ at the peak. It is still expected to top $50B in 2026 revenue with double-digit growth, a 30%+ operating margin and substantial free cash flow; the post-earnings drop came from a slight Q3 guidance miss, not a broken business. The chart may be basing, with support at $68-70 and invalidation near $65; reclaiming $76-80 would signal momentum shifting. … Show more