Samsung Electronics is underrated, with a very wide moat and many growth opportunities. It is expanding into AI and HBM memory, growing in automotive electronics and leads in foldable screens. x.com
Techquity
Technology Investor, Fundamental Research
Samsung Electronics' extraordinary profitability despite an FX hit and rising DRAM prices undermine the case for a memory-price crash. It is the world's most profitable company. Wall St Engine's Q3 summary reports $80.4B in operating profit, up 783% year over year, DRAM selling prices up about 20% quarter over quarter, and Samsung's expectation that memory supply stays tight into 2028. x.com
The valuation gap favors SK hynix and Samsung over Corning, Seagate and Western Digital. Companies trading at 20x are still called cheap while the memory makers trade at 2x; Corning is not cheap on a $4 run rate even with growth, and neither are Seagate or Western Digital. The gap should narrow as memory rises while HDD stalls. x.com x.com
Samsung Electronics faces downside risk because its parabolic run has made market expectations unrealistic, so one mistake could release gravity. Wall Street Engine's Q3 highlights showed revenue, operating profit and net profit below estimates despite triple-digit year-over-year growth. x.com
Low PEG ratios and continuing AI demand make leading AI stocks attractive after rolling corrections. Nvidia is at 0.39x PEG, Amazon 0.64x, Broadcom 0.66x, Micron 0.73x, Oracle 0.59x and TSMC 0.41x. This usually signals at least a local bottom, possibly a major one; midterm-year seasonality helps into year-end. Nvidia, Broadcom and Amazon remain favorites; Micron and TSMC look buyable on dips. Low PEG can mislead if growth slows or estimates are wrong. x.com
Samsung Electronics is one of only three absurdly cheap pockets in Korea's large caps, at about 6x earnings. Across Korea's top 25 by market cap, the median forward P/E is 20x, above the global 16x, and the median stock is up 90% in a year, so the "Korea discount" survives only in Samsung, SK Hynix and Kia. Korea is a stock picker's market, not a blanket cheap-market trade, and Interactive Brokers now offers direct access. x.com
Samsung's record quarter looks closer to a peak than a new base: conventional DRAM shipments are flat year on year, while higher prices per bit drove profits despite a revenue miss. Its phone unit is cutting output because memory costs too much, and AI chip designers are seeking to use less HBM. Buyers' response threatens the price-led margin surge. The October 29 divisional earnings breakdown may show whether memory profit grew much faster than group profit. x.com
Korean equities have a central role in the AI trade because Samsung and SK hynix supply most of the memory it needs. Despite the shakeout, the KOSPI leads the major markets shown at roughly +36% this year. The bullish lean faces a flow warning: Korean semiconductor ETF 20-day flows fell from nearly +$4B in June to about -$703M by October 18 as the index approaches rising support. x.com x.com x.com x.com x.com
Samsung's preliminary Q3 points to the most profitable GAAP quarter ever, yet the stock trades at about 3.5x 2027 EPS. Preliminary Q3 revenue is about $145 billion with operating profit near $80 billion. If revenue grows 8% and net income 12% quarter over quarter for 5+ quarters as expected, Q3 2027 net income could top $105-110 billion. Samsung could earn its whole market cap in net income from 2026 to 2030, and heavy buybacks could lift EPS growth to a 40-50% CAGR. Final numbers are still due. … Show more
Samsung's 7.7% drop on the greatest quarterly profit in tech history shows the AI trade has run out of buyers at these levels. Profit was ₩89.4 trillion ($58.4 billion), up 1,810%, yet the stock is down 23.74% from its peak in just 15 days. The numbers had been anticipated for months, so once they confirmed expectations nobody was left to buy, the mark of a fully priced market. x.com
Samsung Electronics is ridiculously undervalued given that it sells more NAND than SanDisk and Kioxia combined. NAND alone is worth about half its market cap, so adding its DDR business makes it a much cheaper company on a lower multiple. @insane_analyst notes it is the only one of its peers with an internal logic foundry, logic design group, silicon photonics node and CPO group. x.com x.com