Webull's historical ties to China make it one to avoid; per another investor's post, its Cayman Islands-incorporated parent has faced scrutiny over those ties. x.comÂ
Architect of Alpha
Long-Term Stock Investor
Webull's ties to China are a liability, as warned earlier. Per a quoted post, the stock fell nearly 30% after a House panel flagged those ties as a national security risk and raised concerns about US investor data. x.comÂ
Webull faces a national-security overhang from its China ties. Per CNBC, citing House congressional panel findings, Webull's China ties are a national security risk, and the stock dropped 10%. The core problem is that Webull controls $25B of customer assets and allegedly routes retail data through a mainland development team. The CEO has sold 200k shares since late August, and other insiders have also been selling. x.com x.comÂ
Webull looks bullish into its August 19 earnings, with whales positioned for good results. Its AI push turns the platform into an active decision partner that researches securities, analyzes portfolios and gives personalized real-time guidance. Q1 equity volume more than doubled to $261B, and customer assets rose 90% to $24B on 91% net-deposit growth. Technically it sits on its 20/50 EMA and volume shelf, with a strong chance to retest the 200 EMA and more. x.comÂ
Webull faces a serious blow from the news of a China national security risk tied to it. x.com x.comÂ
Webull still looks too bubbly on valuation compared with other fintechs, even though it is a good broker. x.comÂ
Webull looks cheap against its sales at $9.48. It trades at 3x sales, while software companies usually get 9x. Applying 9x to next year's sales, give or take 12%, gives a fair range of $18.01 to $22.92, leaving the stock 47% under the low end. This is a levels-only read off reported earnings and revenue estimates, with no fundamental work. x.comÂ
Webull is a pass despite being a decent brokerage at a fairly decent valuation, because its leadership is mediocre. x.comÂ
PDD Holdings carries governance and geopolitical red flags that its low valuation does not offset. Its founder stepped down and left the board at 41, the company fractured a regulator's hand and kept employees from speaking to regulators, growth slowed from 90% in 2023 to about 10%, it buys back no stock, and US investors face unknown treatment in a war. @fintergirl argues it trades below 4x operating earnings with 60% of its market value backed by cash. x.comÂ
Webull looks too cheap and Robinhood too expensive. Webull's Q2 revenue rose 51%, options volume 68%, equity volume 73% and operating profit 169%, with a 31% operating margin and AUM up 79%. It trades at 4.6x 2026 and 3.7x 2027 EV/revenue, versus 18.8x and 14.8x for Robinhood, which is a much bigger, better company but has only 6.5x more revenue with 26x the enterprise value. On 2027 non-GAAP EPS estimates, Webull trades at 25x versus 31x for Robinhood. x.com x.comÂ
Chinese stocks are uninvestable for long-term investors because the value created goes to the Communist Party, not shareholders. The Chinese index is down 16% since 1991 while the S&P 500 rose 1,570% and the Nasdaq 3,440%, and Alibaba has gained just 27.8% in 12 years since its IPO. When companies grow too strong, the party hits them with megafines, sidelines founders like Jack Ma or blocks game releases as at Tencent, and foreign investors own only VIE contracts, not shares. x.com x.com x.com … Show more