GrowthTurtle
Data Science PhD & IEEE Fellow, Ex-Two Sigma
Energy Fuels is expensive against its earnings, trading about 30% above fair value. It sits at about 20x forward earnings while uranium miners usually get 14x; 14x next year's $0.48 a share, give or take 12%, implies $5.98-7.60. The valuation also leans on the forecast, with forward earnings 117% above trailing. This is a valuation read only, based on reported earnings and revenue estimates. x.comÂ
Uranium Energy is a steal as a debt-free US uranium producer, and it is the kind of company a hyperscaler could buy to lock in power. Uranium is the best 24/7 power there is, needing no sun or wind. The shares trade around $9 after being above $20 earlier this year. x.comÂ
The uranium bull market is continuing, as Energy Fuels draws sudden aggressive buyers on top of its breakout. x.com x.comÂ
Energy Fuels is the critical-minerals play as the US needs domestic uranium and rare-earth supply while nuclear demand accelerates globally. It runs the only licensed and operating uranium mill in the US and the only facility able to produce separated rare earths domestically. It mined 1.72 million pounds of uranium in 2025 and just produced the first US terbium oxide in decades. Consensus sees 2026 revenue of $147 million, up 123%. x.comÂ
Cameco is the preferred uranium name over Energy Fuels as the sector leader. Energy Fuels looks too volatile and is still loss-making, making it a poor choice for holding a commodity stock over a long time. x.comÂ
Uranium Royalty is a royalty play on a widening uranium supply deficit. Q1 FY2027 net profit hit a record $16.3 million, with EPS of $0.10, double the $0.05 expected. Benchmark Mineral Intelligence sees this year's mine-supply deficit widening to 18% of demand in 2027, and UROY holds royalties on McArthur River and Cigar Lake. The chart is breaking out of a falling wedge, with $4.22 the trigger. x.comÂ
Energy Fuels is valued as a cyclical uranium play while it builds the West's only integrated non-Chinese ore-to-magnet platform, setting up a re-rating. Its White Mesa Mill holds the only active conventional uranium mill license in the US, a moat that would take 15+ years to replicate. That lets it process radioactive monazite sand, rich in heavy rare earths like dysprosium and terbium, that standard refiners cannot touch. Projects in Brazil, Australia and Madagascar secure cheap feed. x.comÂ
Energy Fuels faces big dilution risk from a potential common-share offering. Benzinga reports it filed a prospectus to offer up to $500M in shares. x.comÂ
Nuclear power is the long-term answer to AI's energy needs, best owned in tiers by risk. Constellation, with 20-year Microsoft and Google contracts, and BWX Technologies, a 2.6 book-to-bill reactor servicer, offer steady 15-30% a year. Cameco, Centrus, Oklo and X-Energy target 2-5x; Oklo and X-Energy are pre-revenue bets on 14GW and 5GW pipelines. Uranium Energy, US uranium independence, ASP Isotopes, HALEU enrichment for SMRs, and Ur-Energy, pure uranium leverage, are 10x-or-zero bets. x.comÂ
Energy Fuels stands to be the biggest beneficiary as the US phases out Russian uranium, with rare earths a second growth driver. About 25% of US low-enriched uranium came from Russia, and an import ban takes full effect in 2028; Energy Fuels runs White Mesa, one of very few working US conventional uranium mills. Big Tech turning to nuclear for AI adds demand visibility. Its Phase 2 rare-earth line targets over 6,000 tons of NdPr a year and, per its feasibility study, over $300M in annual EBITDA. … Show more
Uranium and nuclear stocks look to have bottomed as AI drives record demand for nuclear power and carbon goals. Google signed a major power deal with Constellation Energy, adding 890 MW of nuclear capacity in PJM, and France expects EU approval to subsidize six new reactors totaling about 10 GW. The IEA sees global electricity use rising about 5,400 TWh by 2030, and Goldman Sachs estimates a 2.3 billion-pound uranium deficit through 2045. Fall seasonality and a double bottom add support. x.com … Show more
