Passage of the CLARITY Act would send Coinbase to $250. Trump is urging Congress to pass the crypto bill, and @MasonVersluis says the Act is indeed coming. x.com  x.com 

Coinbase remains a buy-the-dip crypto holding, but now ranks behind Circle. It has lagged amid prolonged CLARITY Act uncertainty, faces revenue risk from the ongoing USDC custody renegotiation with Circle, and miners shifting to AI temper the trading-volume outlook. Circle is the preferred stablecoin exposure because stablecoins are the natural payment rail for AI agents. Basket weights stay unchanged, with a lean toward adding to Circle as the highest-conviction name. x.com 

Coinbase is holding the CLARITY Act hostage to protect its stablecoin yield revenue. Its chief legal officer says either rewards are included or there is no CLARITY. Coinbase makes $1.35 billion a year from stablecoin yield, which explains why the most important crypto bill in history is still stuck on one company's revenue model. x.com 

Coinbase is becoming CME/ICE-style market infrastructure on USDC stablecoin rails, not just a crypto exchange. The CFTC approved Coinbase Clearing LLC as a registered derivatives clearing organization, putting broker, exchange and clearinghouse for US regulated derivatives under one group. Perpetuals are the natural push, in crypto and potentially US single stocks; when the CFTC approved Coinbase and Kalshi bitcoin perpetuals in May, CME and Cboe shares fell sharply. x.com 

Higher rates make Coinbase a surprising winner because it receives the revenue USDC earns on its reserves. With USDC's market cap stable and rates up, stablecoin revenue will likely be higher in 2H2026 and 2027. The case does not rest on crypto trading, which @gorsk4023 notes could suffer if rates hurt equities. x.com  x.com 

Coinbase is a bubbly stock priced as a proxy for crypto trading, yet experienced crypto users leave it for better exchanges. It works for beginners, where it can take advantage of unknowledgeable investors, but more than a decade of crypto use shows Coinbase gets replaced as soon as users find something better. x.com 

Ether and other altcoins that benefit from clearer rules could keep outperforming ahead of the CLARITY Act, because clearer US rules on tokens and crypto businesses would give investors more confidence. As with the long wait for bitcoin ETF approval, anticipation alone can drive a rally before passage, and strength in LIT and ETH against bitcoin suggests traders are betting on good news. A delay could hurt short term, but if passage still looks likely, the anticipation trade should persist. … Show more

RLUSD is positioned to become a main liquidity layer for XRP trading, as Tether did for Bitcoin. Planned Coinbase access and institutional backing add to Ripple's trust-bank OCC approval, BNY custody and RLUSD's Moody's A2 as adoption groundwork. If XRP becomes core settlement infrastructure, today's market-cap valuation models would look conservative; $100 is a number, not a ceiling. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com 

The carnage in crypto could push Coinbase another leg lower and break its February lows, even though it is already down about 60% from its all-time high. Anecdotally, few people seem to use Coinbase anymore, with most turning to Kraken and Hyperliquid. x.com 

Circle and bitcoin stand to gain most if the Clarity Act passes, because it gives stablecoins legal clarity for the first time so banks, institutions and funds can legally enter. Stablecoins in circulation top $300B, up from $200B a year ago; Circle's USDC holds 20-25% of the market and Tether, which owns treasuries, gold and bitcoin, 55-60%. The industry wants it signed by July 4, with Polymarket odds near 60%. Banks, with $6T+ of deposits paying almost no interest, are lobbying against it. … Show more