Biotech2k
Biotech Investor, AI-Driven Drug Discovery
Coinbase is a bubbly stock priced as a proxy for crypto trading, yet experienced crypto users leave it for better exchanges. It works for beginners, where it can take advantage of unknowledgeable investors, but more than a decade of crypto use shows Coinbase gets replaced as soon as users find something better. x.comÂ
Coinbase's likeliest price path is lower as bitcoin finishes the final leg of its bear market. @BobLoukas argues Coinbase is bloated and overvalued, with horrible customer service, crypto retail activity dead, customers having other options and an underwhelming Base chain. x.comÂ
Coinbase still has no business model in crypto bear markets, while Robinhood has become a profit-making machine. x.comÂ
Coinbase is turning from a place to buy Bitcoin into a full-stack financial platform because Brian Armstrong ships relentlessly. New launches include tokenized stocks, pre-IPO perps, options, US crypto derivatives, prediction markets, an AI investment advisor, AI agent accounts and wallets, crypto-backed mortgages and loans against staked ETH and SOL. Base also dominates Ethereum layer-2s, and its tokenomics will be fascinating to see. Coinbase will be hard to ignore if it dips any lower. x.com … Show more
Coinbase's revenue suffers because crypto trading volumes always dry up when prices fall. Per Polymarket, Coinbase transaction revenue fell 40% year over year. x.comÂ
The carnage in crypto could push Coinbase another leg lower and break its February lows, even though it is already down about 60% from its all-time high. Anecdotally, few people seem to use Coinbase anymore, with most turning to Kraken and Hyperliquid. x.comÂ
Coinbase should recover into a more diversified business when bitcoin recovers, yet it trades as if its only product broke. In nine months it added zero-commission stock trading, prediction markets at $100M annualized revenue, stock and pre-IPO perps, and derivatives at $200M annualized, and it receives about 50% of USDC economics. Bitcoin near $64K sits below its ~$87K mining cost, historically a buy signal. At 6-7x sales versus Robinhood's 18.6x, the risk/reward is favorable. x.comÂ
Agent payments and AI infrastructure make AI crypto one of the strongest early-bull-market narratives. Coinbase's x402 is the clearest signal: agents made 138 million-plus Base transactions, mostly under 10 cents. Bittensor subnets earn outside revenue; Render and Akash supply GPU power; NEAR builds agent rails. Grayscale's AI crypto sector rose 54% in September vs roughly 24% for the broader market. Still early and volatile; rotation may follow if Bitcoin holds a base and the narrative sticks. … Show more
Coinbase faces a boycott by the XRP community after reports that Ripple paid Coinbase to get XRP listed, after which XRP became 20% of Coinbase's revenue. The Coinbase premium flipped negative to -0.03 as the community moved its buying to Binance. The stock fell 20% in five days and 47% in six months, and its best days look behind it. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Coinbase participated in the crypto rebound's trading activity. Its spot volume rose about 41-50% month over month to roughly $61-64 billion, overtaking Bybit for third among top-tier spot exchanges. That counters AlphaTAEdgde's claim that the rebound's volume bypassed Coinbase. x.comÂ
Cboe Global Markets' drop on futures launches by Coinbase and Kalshi looks overdone. Coinbase depends on crypto while Cboe is half as expensive, and it is doubtful prediction-market players will attract many futures traders. The price is holding support, making this a low-risk entry. x.comÂ
