BMSInvests
Aggressive-Growth Investor, Ondas Holdings Focus
AeroVironment adds a new Department of War contract to its defense case. It was awarded $43M to integrate its PANTHER phased array antenna on SkyRange platforms for hypersonic telemetry. Per AeroVironment, the three-year contract covers a scalable, reconfigurable antenna for multi-band, multi-target tracking that supports autonomous operation with remote access and control. x.com x.comÂ
AeroVironment is becoming a diversified defense technology company as BlueHalo adds space, cyber, counter-drone and directed-energy capabilities to its drones, amid structural demand for unmanned warfare. A $117.3 million US Army order for its P550 drone, a $30 million German Puma contract and Italy's MQ-31A designation for JUMP 20 extend its reach. Fiscal 2026 revenue hit a record of about $1.98 billion, up 141%, with book-to-bill above 1.4, though acquisition impairments weigh on net income. … Show more
AeroVironment is a long-term buy on weakness because its counter-drone and directed-energy position keeps strengthening while the chart stays depressed. It won a $464.8M US Army LOCUST contract, its first US production contract for high-energy lasers, plus a >$50M international order, and is one of four systems in the US counter-drone directed-energy pilot ahead of a December shoot-off. The stock has built a $135-150 range for three months with improving MFI, a potential bullish divergence. … Show more
AeroVironment is expensive against its earnings at 45x, versus the 24x aerospace and defense suppliers usually get. Fair value sits at $93.02 to $118.39, or 24x next year's $4.40 EPS give or take 12%, leaving the $196.02 price 66% above the high end, and even that leans on forward earnings 47% above trailing. The call rests on valuation levels from reported earnings and estimates only, not fundamental work. x.comÂ
AeroVironment is selling off like a penny stock even though it just booked about half a billion dollars of counter-drone business, a reaction that looks absurd. x.comÂ
AeroVironment's lasers look like a new franchise after a strong quarter. Q1 FY27 revenue hit a record $480.5 million, up 6% and above about $456 million expected, and adjusted EPS of $0.59 beat roughly $0.25, with FY27 guidance raised or reaffirmed on a $1.5 billion backlog. The first international order for its LOCUST laser system, which management frames as a potential $500 million-a-year franchise, follows a $464.8 million US Army directed-energy award. x.com x.comÂ
AeroVironment's latest print was solid but not full confirmation that profitability is on track. Revenue and EPS beat, funded backlog reached $1.5B and AxS grew 21%, validating demand, but SCDE fell 21% and EBITDA declined year over year. Even after the brutal defense selloff since Q1, whether the stock has bottomed is still unclear. x.comÂ
AeroVironment sits at major higher-timeframe support while sentiment is broadly negative, a contrarian setup into earnings the next day. AeroVironment also announced its first international LOCUST directed-energy order, worth over $50M. x.comÂ
Redwire is losing the drone battle to AeroVironment. The two won the $1 billion LRR program, but AeroVironment says it is getting close to 90% of the awards and was blunt on its last call: warfighters are far more satisfied with its systems than with competitors', and when rival products don't perform in the field, future procurement decisions follow. x.comÂ
AeroVironment's 23% rally looks unjustified because the company is again signaling unimpressive growth, with its FY27 revenue growth target below 10%. x.comÂ
Projected earnings growth makes AeroVironment look best on valuation among the drone names discussed. The consensus figures shown put adjusted EPS at $3.26 in 2027 and $8.32 in 2030, with the indicated P/E falling from 37x to 14.5x. x.com x.comÂ