US drone stocks such as Ondas, AeroVironment, Kratos, Unusual Machines and Red Cat are set for a legendary rotation as the Trump administration is in talks to fund US drone companies, per a WSJ report shared by @zerohedge. x.comÂ
BMSInvests
Aggressive-Growth Investor, Ondas Holdings Focus
Drone and autonomy stocks are where government money is going next, as Trump pursues funding deals to boost domestic drone production. Dell is up over 50% since Trump said to buy it, and drone names could do the same once he announces picks. The list spans AeroVironment, Kratos, Red Cat, Ondas, Draganfly, Unusual Machines, Swarmer and Palladyne AI; counter-drone names DroneShield and L3Harris; and primes Northrop Grumman, Lockheed Martin, Textron, General Dynamics and Boeing. x.com x.comÂ
Trump's 100% tariffs on foreign-made drones should send demand soaring for US drone makers and suppliers. AeroVironment has a $1.2B funded backlog; Kratos has a $2.1B backlog and jet drones with no foreign substitute; Ondas, the fastest grower, posted a record $83.8M quarter. Red Cat's Black Widow is an Army program of record, Unusual Machines makes 15,000 NDAA-compliant motors a month, AIRO has a $163M drone backlog and LightPath's US-made infrared optics become the default. x.com x.com x.com … Show more
Ondas Holdings' valuation is hard to justify, and its long-term risk/reward looks less favorable than AeroVironment or Kratos. Per @rzayev7895's read of the earnings, growth comes from acquisitions rather than organically, share count rose 200-300%, market cap roughly quadrupled, cash comes from stock sales, and most backlog arrived with acquired companies. Ondas is more than drones, with critical private networks, but that does not change the valuation view. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Drone makers AeroVironment, Kratos and Ondas look set for another strong run after the Trump administration imposed a 100% tariff on foreign-made drones, per @unusual_whales citing the NYT. Defense names including Lockheed Martin, RTX and General Dynamics are easy buys now ahead of a golden era in 2027-2028. As @fundmyfund notes, 2026 has been awful for many of these stocks, but long-term charts show big bases that can fuel powerful moves, and defense funding should arrive in coming weeks. x.com … Show more
Drone stocks are next in line for administration backing, after semiconductors and quantum ran when the President pointed investors to them. Dell, Intel, AMD and Marvell rose 200% after the semis call, and quantum names surged on government grants. The President is buying, then telling investors what to buy, so Unusual Machines, Kratos, Ondas, Red Cat, AeroVironment, AIRO and AgEagle are the names to own over the next three years. x.comÂ
AEVEX Aerospace actually manufactures drones at scale, while Ondas mostly issues shares, making AEVEX the far better long. AEVEX did $432.9M of 2025 revenue to Ondas's $50.7M at 72% of the market cap, with $503M of funded backlog toward an $800M 2026 guide and 1,000 drones a month from Tampa. Ondas lacks a consolidated US factory, its share count went from 49M to 482M in three years, and it trades at 23-28x forward sales versus AEVEX's 4.5x. AEVEX's October lockup expiry is worth trimming into. … Show more
Drone stocks could go on a tear this fall because drone funding is bipartisan, so a likely Democratic midterm win shouldn't derail the trade. Democrats backed Ukraine war funding and could pass bigger, faster aid. Drone bills, from the Chinese-drone ban to the COUNTER Act, have co-sponsors from both parties, so drones and counter-drones are the least contested part of the $1.5T budget. Nearly every drone stock beat and raised, yet sentiment is still depressed. LightPath stands out. x.com x.com … Show more
Defense and drone stocks have been oversold even though their fundamentals have not changed. Ondas offers explosive growth and counter-drone exposure, Kratos has Valkyrie and hypersonics, AeroVironment has Switchblade and Army contracts, Unusual Machines has leverage to drone components, and Red Cat has Army wins and NDAA-compliant drones. x.comÂ
Red Cat's financial future looks uncertain: Q1 revenue was $15.5M against $29.3M of operating expenses, and its 13% gross margin has no clear path to the 30% target. Combat validation for its USVs belongs to a partner platform; its own Valdosta-built vessels are new and unproven in a named theater. It is too concentrated in aerial ISR, and the earnings call did not inspire confidence. Ondas, with 49% gross margins, over $1B raised and EBITDA-positive product units, is more compelling. x.com … Show more
These five defense autonomy companies can each 10x on fast-growing drone, unmanned and counter-drone businesses. Kraken Robotics makes subsea drones, batteries and sonar for autonomous underwater warfare. Ondas grew TTM revenue 979% to $174M and guides 2026 to $525M-$550M. Kratos has a $2B backlog in unmanned systems, hypersonics and missile defense. AeroVironment grew TTM revenue 84% to $2.0B on military drones, and Red Cat grew 867% with a 2026 target of $150M-$180M. x.comÂ