RocketMan
Space Investor, Rocket Lab Focus
First Solar is the only non-impaired Western solar manufacturer, yet the category leader trades at historically low multiples against its own past and relatively low multiples against basically everything else in the market. Buying it at those valuations is a gift; it looks like a dinger. x.com
Solar is the cheapest energy source to build right now as its costs keep falling, making First Solar, Array Technologies, Shoals and the solar ETF the solar plays within the energy transition. Elon Musk says solar will eventually supply essentially all the energy humanity harnesses because the giant fusion reactor in the sky is free. x.com
First Solar has lost its appeal because of how its bookings have been trending, while power names Vistra and Talen look cheap. x.com
First Solar is the most direct US beneficiary of Trump's new 15% tariff and minimum price on polysilicon and everything made from it. Its cadmium-telluride panels use no polysilicon, so its costs stay flat while competitors' prices rise. The measure targets semiconductors, since polysilicon is the raw material for chip wafers; solar is caught up only because it uses the same input. Inverter makers SolarEdge and Enphase could be hurt if the minimum price reduces installations. x.com
A polysilicon price floor plus 15% Section 232 tariff, effective December 4, 2026, favors US producers and hurts those reliant on cheap Chinese poly. Corning's Hemlock is the US champion the policy was written for, and First Solar uses no polysilicon, so rivals' costs rise while its stay flat. Daqo's $5/kg Chinese poly is the target, Sunrun faces higher panel costs with subsidies gone, and Canadian Solar's US plants depend on imported inputs. Installers' Q4 prints may be inflated by stockpiles. … Show more
Solar stocks are trades, not investments, because the industry is a perennial long-term loser despite the continued growth of solar power. As Warren Buffett said of airlines, the urge to invest should be resisted no matter how attractive Enphase, Sunrun, First Solar, SolarEdge, Nextracker, Array Technologies, Canadian Solar or even a broad solar ETF may look. That holds even as @optionscjp notes Enphase is turning toward commercial data center projects. x.com
A polysilicon tariff rewards whoever sources it domestically; a price floor rewards whoever sells it. First Solar wins either way because its cadmium-telluride thin film uses no polysilicon, the cleanest hedge though now consensus. Corning owns Hemlock, the pick and shovel a floor directly subsidizes. T1 Energy is hedged by domestic Hemlock pricing but not immune: its 2026 bridge year runs on imported cells while G2 Austin ramps, and Section 232 could tax them during its capex crunch. x.com
First Solar is one of the best setups for the next 6-12 months: a whale just bought $5M of calls, and the stock is sitting on the two strongest support levels in this trading system. x.com
First Solar is one of ten stocks featured in a thread. x.com
First Solar's strong quarter and large contracted backlog support a first target of $246.7. Revenue rose about 24% to roughly $1.04B, GAAP EPS of about $3.22 beat consensus near $2.87-2.96, and net income reached $347M versus about $210M. It maintained guidance, and its contracted backlog stands at 47.9 GW of modules worth $14.4B. x.com