Ross Gerber
CEO of Gerber Kawasaki, Portfolio Manager of GK ETF
Nvidia is undervalued: EPS looks closer to $10 this year, and at its historic multiple of 45 that makes $450 possible. It earned an unprecedented $60 billion net in a quarter, up over 100%, under very good management. Those profits hold up because the customers spending the money are making a return right away. The market's reluctance to buy the AI trade is a huge opportunity. x.com x.comÂ
Nvidia's record buyback shows a company confident in its future cash flows. Per a quoted post, Nvidia authorized a $150 billion buyback, the largest single increase in US corporate history, while Jensen Huang called the current cycle the largest infrastructure buildout in human history. x.comÂ
NVIDIA's record buyback signals management sees the stock as undervalued and buying it as a good use of cash. It announced a new $150 billion authorization, bringing the total to $235 billion, with its market cap above $5.5 trillion. x.comÂ
Nvidia's $150 billion buyback is immaterial and cannot provide a floor under the stock. Against a $5 trillion market cap it is about 3% over roughly two years, under 2% a year, whereas Apple's $100 billion buyback came when its market cap was about $900 billion. Stock-based compensation and the size of insider sales over the last year offset it further. Nvidia remains a remarkable company. x.com x.comÂ
Nvidia's next move is being underestimated while attention is on Meta as the Magnificent Seven all-time-high candidate. Nvidia has increased its record buyback authorization to $235 billion into fiscal 2028, just as the stock breaks out from a year-long range. x.comÂ
Nvidia is becoming a share cannibal at a $5T market cap as it accelerates buybacks and dividends. Its new $150B buyback brings its total authorization to $235B, the largest ever. x.com x.comÂ
Nvidia's funding of future customers in Germany further blurs how much chip demand it paid for itself. Jensen Huang said Nvidia invested almost $1B there in the last year and is investing in four more companies this week; German taxpayers are helping too. Finding buyers beyond Big Tech is smart, but the more sales come back from Nvidia's own checks, the harder genuine demand is to gauge. x.comÂ
Nvidia's cash could have more value invested in AI companies with strong demand but too little capital to scale, especially neoclouds that can execute. Their valuations look very attractive now, making equity stakes preferable to more buybacks or dividends despite criticism of circular deals. SpaceX may need the money less because it is already very big. x.com x.com x.comÂ
Nvidia's robotics and autonomous-vehicle opportunities are not yet baked into its valuation. The stock looks super cheap here and ranks first among the Magnificent Seven for investment attractiveness. x.com x.comÂ
Nvidia's equity-investment book makes earnings vulnerable to an AI valuation downturn even if GPU sales hold up. Private and public stakes totaled about $99bn, or 31% of assets, in July; gains were $15.9bn in April and $7.8bn in July. Private holdings are marked on observable transactions or impairments, so losses could arrive in lumps. Nvidia generated about $127bn of free cash flow over four quarters, and the filing does not split private stakes by sector. x.com x.comÂ
Nvidia adding $80B to its stock buyback makes a bearish stance on the stock hard to justify. x.comÂ