Nokia is becoming a credible Western AI infrastructure pick, though only its Network Infrastructure half. The Infinera deal added in-house photonic chip fabs and hyperscaler access, Nvidia's $1B stake brings AI-RAN co-design, and the segment grew 23% in FY25 with EUR2.4B of AI and cloud orders. Licensing at near-100% gross margin and EUR4.9B of net cash add support, while Mobile Networks is a commoditizing anchor. Risks: AI capex peaking before Nokia wins optical share, and synergy slippage. … Show more

Nokia's story keeps getting better, with a turnaround still in its early stages that recalls Intel's. AI-driven network demand, optical growth, inflecting fundamentals and an expanding defense angle all support it. @BanyanLaneCap adds that as AI rebuilds connectivity, Nokia has many ways to win beyond the next two to three years, with real IP and only a few global competitors. x.com 

Nokia's expected 2028 earnings do not make the stock particularly attractive at today's multiple. Even assuming EUR3.5bn of operating profit and a 17x multiple, the implied value is about $12.40, leaving the thesis dependent on multiple expansion. Datacenter and optical progress is good, but more growth in satellite communications and subsea would strengthen the case. x.com  x.com  x.com 

Nokia's agentic-AI work with Nvidia adds another bullish development to its network-automation case. Nokia says their models and network intelligence help operators act on insights while keeping control of sensitive data. L&T Technology Services also announced engineering and R&D work with Nokia in India; after strong Q3 results, the shares still look ridiculously priced. x.com  x.com 

Nokia is well positioned for data centers' shift from copper to optics because it makes and packages indium phosphide optical chips in-house, and could eventually double. Through Infinera it owns scarce InP fab capacity, is expanding San Jose 20-fold and buying NXP's Chandler campus, and grew US photonic packaging tenfold, avoiding Coherent or Lumentum markups. Q2 AI and cloud sales rose 105% on EUR 2.8B of orders, with backlog at 6.3x quarterly segment revenue. Curbs on Chinese optics help. … Show more

Nokia looks overhyped for now, and a weak Q3 could bring a short-term pullback despite a bright long-term setup. Management said Q3 will be flat because high-margin software revenue was pulled into Q2, and restructuring charges of €390M still weigh. AI and cloud revenue rose 105%, with €2.8B of binding Q2 orders, but memory and optical supply limits are capping growth. Q4 needs to confirm the thesis before buying, likely toward year-end. x.com  x.com  x.com 

Nokia's Infinera business gives it a real position in the optical stack, but the market still prices it as a telecom story. The deeper opportunity is in silicon photonics and electro-optic modulators that eliminate the electrical-to-optical conversion bottleneck inside AI clusters, a shift analyst downgrades miss. @josephinvesting notes Handelsbanken cut Nokia to hold and calls it the most misunderstood optical networking play, with multiples compressed by its legacy telecom business. x.com 

Nokia's optical investments mean the stock may not rise much in the first half of this year, with bigger gains likely once the second half begins. Over two years, the shares could rise 2-3x. x.com 

Nokia does not deserve the roughly 50x multiples of optical pure plays like Ciena and Coherent, because it still carries large, shrinking legacy businesses in wireless, PON and routing. This rebuts Citron Research's case that comparisons with those peers make Nokia a $20 stock. x.com 

Nokia's Q3 revenue and earnings beat despite the selloff makes it one of the most compelling buying opportunities in the market right now. Shares are back at $7.88, nearly 55% below their $17.45 high, after Nvidia invested $1 billion at $6.01 per share in October 2025. x.com