jbulltard
Options Trader, Market Trend Modeling with Custom Data
Fermi is a fraud, and the market has always known it: former governor Rick Perry is building a product called the Donald Trump generating plant. @FuzzyPandaShort, which is short Fermi, reports that CEO Toby Neugebauer departed and cites accusations of C-level executives involved in fraud schemes with him. x.comÂ
Fermi has no revenue and is only promising a 17 MW Texas project by 2032. Its steep share-price decline looks like capital markets disciplining a speculative business. x.comÂ
Fermi is a short, as the retail crowd behind the stock is getting violent, boasting of a 50% gain in four sessions. x.comÂ
Fermi's valuation has now fallen to where starting a position makes sense, because the market has finally discounted risks that were apparent more than a month earlier. Those risks were clear from conversations with other management teams and Texas regulators; @chinoalemano notes the market concluded only about a third of the potential 1,600MW for 2027 would actually happen. x.com x.comÂ
Fermi America asks investors to value a blueprint rather than a building, and expectations have outrun reality; shares are down more than 70% from the IPO. Mission-critical infrastructure with existing cash flows is preferable to paying today for possibilities that may not materialize until 2040. x.comÂ
Fermi carries a true chance of going to zero, so it can't be owned outright, even though it may well get a deal done in time. In a world of high energy costs and constant backlash against turning backyards into data centers, Fermi holds a strong hand. @rahmbotrades sees a good chance Amazon partners with Fermi for its Amarillo build-out, citing an updated Amazon job listing for a data center cluster operations leader. x.comÂ
Fermi is an overlooked way to play AI because almost no one is watching who powers the chips. Rick Perry's company has built an 11 GW private, behind-the-meter energy grid for AI hyperscalers, with a 6 GW Clean Air Permit, a nuclear pilot, $785M in new equipment financing and a $500M MUFG loan. At $9.5, the stock sits well below analyst targets of $20 or more, and two buy signals are in play. x.comÂ
Super Micro Computer looks like a fraud, and the earlier alarm raised on it is being borne out. x.comÂ
Fermi's first data center tenant is a massive one, making this a high-conviction setup. TensorWave signed a binding lease at Project Matador in Texas, with phase one locking in 222 megawatts and about $6.5 billion of contracted revenue over 15 years, and expansion rights could take it past 650 megawatts. Part of the lease is expected to carry a guarantee from a major AI name. Construction is 6 gigawatts into a 17-gigawatt build, first power is targeted for 2026, and volume shows accumulation. … Show more
Fermi's pullback on its $375 million convertible note looks like a chance to buy the fear, because the capital funds its gigawatt-scale Project Matador AI power campus in Texas. Capped calls limit dilution for shareholders up to $14.64 a share. Demand for dense, redundant power for hyperscalers keeps accelerating, with reports of possible major tenant interest such as OpenAI. Analyst targets sit well above the price, and with the proxy fight over, management can focus on execution. x.comÂ
