Apple is having its year, and investors are sleeping on it. Mac Minis are selling out, new AirPods offer live translation, and the new MacBook Neo is affordable at $600. x.com
Pepe Invests
Retail Investor, Stocks, Real Estate, AI & Bitcoin
Apple shows significant relative strength because it did not spend billions on AI capex, unlike Meta, Microsoft and Oracle, which are in the toilet after spending so much. Apple also has a new product cycle launching across AirPods, iPad and a touch MacBook. x.com
Apple's new hardware cycle has an encouraging early demand signal: Duo preorders look strong out of the gates. Duo is Cupertino's first new form factor since AirPods in 2016, and new hardware innovation will define the Ternus era. x.com
Apple's growth valuation gives too much credit to a $2,000 folding iPhone and a touchscreen MacBook. Its 36.16 forward P/E and 3.54 PEG are higher than recent readings over the past two years, making this a point to take serious profits. x.com
Apple is a buy now on a strong holiday quarter ahead, its trusted brand and deep ecosystem integration, momentum from the foldable iPhone and an underrated future AI opportunity. x.com
Apple is a safe haven amid AI-stock volatility and will gain momentum if it persists over the next two weeks through the midterms. New products and another defensive day bring a momentum push toward $358, then $367 in November closer. x.com
Apple is a sell here because buybacks are replacing innovation while its share price is dangerously extended. It is not spending on AI, in cloud services, making robots or pursuing global WiFi; its VR, Siri chatbot and iCar efforts have failed. Its flip phone follows Samsung's, and AirPods have poor battery life and microphones. The share price has held up, but only for now. x.com
Apple's cash is now worth more than GPUs, and Macs are becoming personal data centers. Apple is nearly reclaiming the top market-cap spot from Nvidia after rising almost 30% since the start of 2026. x.com
Apple's Duo could spur a bigger upgrade cycle because its foldable form factor gives users a new reason to buy. It reportedly sold out within minutes, but Foxconn's roughly 60% assembly yield may exaggerate demand; sustained lead times as yields improve could support 2027 revenue. Early costs may pressure margins and local AI monetization remains unproven. Premium hardware and local AI could make Apple the world's most valuable company again. x.com
Apple's weak Mac and iPhone demand and soaring costs threaten worse Q3 results and Q4 guidance than its weak Q2. IDC estimates Mac sales fell 11% y/y in Q3 after rising 13% in Q2. Counterpoint says Pro sales rose just 3% in the first three weeks while overall iPhone sales fell; lower-end models are absent this year. Foldable yields are reportedly 60%, and $100 price hikes may not offset costs. At $5 trillion, 39 P/E and 11 times sales, Apple's crowded 'safe haven' looks vulnerable. x.com
Apple will likely report its biggest sales ever in Q4 earnings and the stock should rip, even though the new foldable iPhone looks absolutely gross. x.com