SoFi is attractive at these prices, but Nu Holdings is preferred because it is much cheaper with very similar growth. SoFi pays about 50x more to acquire a US customer than Nu pays in Brazil, Mexico and Colombia; SoFi's higher ARPU and lifetime value are what justify that cost. How Nu's metrics hold up as it expands into the US is the open question. x.com  x.com 

SoFi's conservative 2027 guide leaves room to beat expectations, barring a macro shock. Its $6.4B revenue target is 4.2% above consensus and $0.90 EPS target is $0.08 ahead; Q3 revenue grew 44.5% and net margin widened 280 basis points year over year. Cross-selling is gaining traction, management says no capital raise is needed through 2027, and CEO Anthony Noto says he is as confident in durable growth at high rates as at low rates. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com 

SoFi's CEO Anthony Noto is pitching a valuation the business does not justify. On a podcast he suggested SoFi should not trade at 2x tangible book or less, alluding to American Express's 5-6x peaks and JPMorgan's roughly 2.8x, yet no bank matches JPMorgan's size, scale and safety, and SoFi already trades near 2.25-2.3x. SoFi is second best or worse at everything and first at nothing, student loan refinancing is still a big slice, its credit card is uncompetitive, and savings are commoditized. … Show more

SoFi's expanding financial ecosystem now has eight businesses above $100 million in annualized revenue, a shift from its student-loan origins that makes its next decade incredibly bullish. Crypto products rose from 63,441 in Q4 2025 to 503,070 in Q3 2026, nearly 8x in three quarters. It is still early, but crypto could become another valuable piece of the ecosystem. x.com  x.com 

SoFi's cross-selling is turning growth into faster profits, making its valuation more compelling than Robinhood's despite higher margins there. Q3 revenue rose 44% and adjusted EBITDA 70%; fee-based revenue reached 42% of sales. Management guides to $6.4B revenue and $2.24B adjusted EBITDA in 2027 without needing new capital for that plan, though future dilution is possible. Robinhood's 12.4x analyst-estimated 2027 sales is nearly four times SoFi's 3.3x on management guidance. SoFi must deliver. … Show more

Nu's prolonged app-access failure makes its claim to be a strong tech bank doubtful and could deter other Americans from using it. Five days after being locked out abroad, selecting the US still has not restored access; Nu's support suggested that same step. After this banking experience, investing in Nu no longer makes sense. x.com  x.com  x.com 

SoFi's fee growth and improving credit support its Q3 triple beat. Revenue was $1.39B vs $1.26B expected, EPS 18 cents vs 17, membership 17.1M, and guidance rose. Interchange fees grew 77% year on year, brokerage fees 47%; personal-loan net charge-offs fell to 2.26%. The guide assumes two more rate hikes this year; one looks plausible, not two, leaving upside. For 2027, it assumes four hikes and a couple more percentage points of tax. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com 

SoFi should be rising, not falling, because high bond yields favor financial stocks. Its banking business and other products are strong enough to be real competition for brick-and-mortar banks, which may be why big banks dislike it, though its trading platform still needs a lot of work. x.com  x.com 

SoFi's egregious dilution means business growth may fail to benefit existing shareholders. Its share count rose 61% over five years, reducing an original 1% stake to about 0.6%; even 61% earnings growth could leave earnings per share flat. As a bank, SoFi is already practically uninvestable by these standards, though dilution need not destroy value if the capital raised creates more value than the ownership surrendered. x.com 

SoFi's accelerating products per member bodes well for its long-term growth. The attached series rises from about 1.45 in March 2024 to 1.56 in September 2026, with a sharper climb in 2026. x.com