Diversified cash flows in the billions make the AI-buildout basket more appealing than standalone model companies. Many members look reasonably priced and have longer records of delivering returns; Anthropic and OpenAI look much more like gambles at current valuations, though either could appeal at the right price. A possible equal-weight portfolio to revisit in five years includes Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta, Oracle and SpaceX. x.com  x.com 

A ten-year low in forward P/E makes hyperscaler valuations look more than reasonable. Goldman Sachs' chart tracks Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft and Oracle as a basket. x.com 

Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft and Meta are not getting cheap; their multiples are sliding because separate monopolies are turning into one competitive market. They now spend enormous sums to sell the same AI to the same customers, funded largely by cyclical ads, on unproven returns. Microsoft faces AI eating per-seat licensing, Amazon fights in both retail and cloud, Alphabet's search premium is gone, and Meta keeps going all in for less. Markets can't price not knowing what a business will be. … Show more

Anthropic's lack of profit makes NVIDIA, Broadcom, Meta and Amazon preferable investments. Their forward P/Es are 15x, 17.5x, 20x and 25x, respectively. x.com 

Amazon looks cheap against its expected long-term earnings growth if that growth proves accurate. Its five-year consensus growth is the fastest in the Magnificent 7 after Nvidia, while its 0.90 forward P/E-to-growth ratio is the lowest excluding Nvidia. x.com  x.com 

Meta looks unattractive because its fines, capital raises and AI capex make the math ugly. The stock could trade back to the $500s, while hyperscalers probably have to make those raises with equity down 15-25%. Muse looks like a fad and average users may not need AI agents, matching LogicalThesis's view. x.com  x.com  x.com 

Combining estimated NTM revenue growth with trailing GAAP EBITDA margin makes Palo Alto Networks, Datadog, JFrog, Rubrik and Snowflake look overvalued against forward EV/sales. Zoom, Alphabet, Oracle, AppLovin, Microsoft, Fair Isaac, Adobe, Amazon and Teradata remain undervalued on this Rule of 40 comparison; Palantir, Cloudflare and CrowdStrike remain overvalued. x.com 

Microsoft, Meta and Alphabet are high-quality companies that trade cheaper than the market despite AI bubble fears. The S&P 500 trades at 28 times earnings, versus 24 times for Microsoft, 25 times for Meta and 27 times for Alphabet. x.com 

Contracts and growth make nine innovation stocks worth buying on the dip for investors aged 18-40. IREN has Microsoft and Nvidia deals; The Information reports an Anthropic deal that may identify its unnamed AI customer. Cipher and Nebius have AI contracts; Applied Optoelectronics' 800G shipments more than doubled; Hims' subscribers grew; Vistra eyes AI power demand; T1 is building US solar capacity; Micron faces growing HBM demand; AST SpaceMobile has contracted backlog. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  … Show more

Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, ServiceNow, UnitedHealth, Mastercard, MercadoLibre and Netflix offer the most quality for the price paid. As Warren Buffett put it, price is what you pay and value is what you get. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com