Low forward earnings multiples across eleven stocks cannot persist indefinitely. Nvidia trades near 17.5x, its lowest in over a decade; Oracle near 15x, its lowest in six years. Uber is at 17x, Broadcom 19x, Vistra 15x, AppLovin 14.5x, TSMC 19x, Forgent Power Solutions 18x, Nokia 19.5x, American Express 17x and Western Digital 14x. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com 

AppLovin looks tempting after a massive reset, with some of the strongest fundamentals on the market, in an elite club with Palantir and CrowdStrike. Its price is down 57% from the highs, back to 2024 levels, and its P/E has fallen from 70x to a record-low 24x. Growth has decelerated from priced-for-perfection levels, but it is still a money machine, software-disruption fears are cooling and the stock is consolidating in a long-term support zone. The bottom is likely close. x.com  x.com  x.com 

FICO's moat is starting to get disrupted, and the premium multiple holders once defended has not held up. Two years ago the stock traded at 80x EPS on the argument that a high-quality compounder with a moat deserved it; that multiple has since compressed by about 80%. FICO would need to rise 280% to regain its all-time high, and there is a good chance it never does. x.com  x.com  x.com 

AppLovin is priced for major deceleration: it trades at 24x earnings versus the S&P 500's 26x despite 57% EPS growth last quarter, showing the market doubts its growth is sustainable. Management targets long-term growth of 20-30%; if it comes reasonably close, the stock is very undervalued, and intrinsic value growth alone would produce substantial returns even if the multiple contracted further. x.com 

AppLovin's high growth may outlast market expectations, helping explain its cheap valuation. In SergeyCYW's forward P/E versus expected revenue growth comparison, it is in a league of its own, especially when earnings quality is considered. x.com  x.com  x.com 

Fair Isaac still looks far too expensive at 90x free cash flow, even after a 75% fall in a monopoly. Even if FCF doubled, the price would equal 45 years of cash flow, and doubling at FICO's size is much less plausible after it raised prices 17 times and angered customers. The test is whether the company can earn the price paid within an investor's lifetime under generous growth assumptions. x.com  x.com  x.com  x.com 

AppLovin's growth, liquidity, free cash flow and profitability make it the clear winner among beaten-down stocks with attractive fundamentals. Research Desk's chart shows EPS generally beating estimates, though the latest revenue missed. x.com 

FICO is trading at its lowest valuation of the decade, about 13x forward earnings for what is essentially a duopoly, which is attractive. @thejmkane counters that it is no longer really a monopoly, but a duopoly at 13x is not so bad. x.com  x.com 

AppLovin faces a long repair after its trend broke, even though its fundamentals rank in the top 30 of 2,000 stocks. Shares fell almost 60% from above $745 to near $315 after an August report, with revenue up 53% and an 84% EBITDA margin, narrowly missed its guidance midpoint, cracking the endless-beat assumption behind its multiple. Price sits below a falling 200-day average, and holders waiting for break-even must clear first. If the trend turns, 16.8x earnings for 37% growth would be rare. … Show more

SoFi is the highest-conviction pick among eight businesses to own for 5+ years, as the market underestimates how big its financial ecosystem can become. Amazon has many ways to compound; Uber's core works, with autonomy as upside; ServiceNow has deep switching costs and a long AI runway. Zeta Global is riskier, with huge upside if growth quality holds. Netflix's margins, cash flow, pricing power, ads and scale are underrated; AMD offers data center exposure; AppLovin appeals at the right price. … Show more